FNUS76 KMFR 080709
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR COLSTEIN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1109 PM PST SAT NOV 7 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 PST ON NOVEMBER 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE AIR MASS ACROSS THE BURN AREA WILL BEGIN TO DRY OUT TODAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. THE WARM AND
DRY AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE WET PATTERN
RETURNS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND MOSTLY SLOPE DRIVEN EXCEPT FOR
NEAR THE TOP. IN SPITE OF LIGHT WIND...MID LEVEL COLD AIR WILL HELP
STEEPEN THE LAPSE RATE WITH REASONABLE MIXING. THE NEXT COLD FRONT
WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION TO THE BURN AREA MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH A GOOD POTENTIAL FOR MEASURABLE SNOW
OVERNIGHT.


.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-49.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-55 PERCENT.
20 FT WINDS.........SOUTH WIND 5 MPH...BACKING TO SOUTHWEST 5 MPH
                    BY 1300.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE WIND 1 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

THE 3 TO 5 DAY FORECAST.
WINDS ARE FORECAST 20 FT WINDS.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
CLOUDY. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE EVENING. SNOW LEVEL 5500 FEET. HIGHS
45-50. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 35-40 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH OVER THE RIDGES.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. SNOW
LEVEL 5000 FEET. LOWS 25 TO 35. HIGHS 45 TO 48. MINIMUM HUMIDITY
60-65 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.VETERANS DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
SNOW LEVEL 4500 FEET. LOWS 25 TO 35. HIGHS 40 TO 45. MINIMUM
HUMIDITY 50-55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BUNNAG
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN JANES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091108.COLST.02/MFR