FNUS72 KMHX 081235 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE CLIFF...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 735 AM EST SUN NOV 8 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 EST ON NOVEMBER 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY. A COASTAL TROUGH WILL MOVE ONSHORE MONDAY NIGHT. A COMPLICATED PATTERN IS EXPECTED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS TROPICAL CYCLONE IDA IN THE GULF OF MEXICO INTERACTS WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD INTO THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY AND REMAIN THROUGH LATE WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LIGHT WINDS. SURFACE WINDS WILL BACK FROM LIGHT WEST TO LIGHT SOUTHWEST BY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER THAN THEY HAVE BEEN THE PAST 2 DAYS WITH READINGS REACHING THE LOWER 70S. A STRONG SUBSIDENCE INVERSION WILL DEVELOP AROUND 2100 FT WITH MAXIMUM MIXING HEIGHTS OF 3000-3300 EXPECTED. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE 10 MPH OR LESS. SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BE VERY POOR TO STAGNANT TONIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EST) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............19 21 22 21 16 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................45 60 66 70 68 RH..................100 62 49 41 47 20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 1 W 3 W 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST..... HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 0 TO 6 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH LATE. SMOKE DISPERSION....VERY POOR TO STAGNENT. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............10 9 11 12 13 16 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................62 57 53 52 51 49 RH..................65 82 93 95 100 100 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 1 S 0 E 0 NE 0 NE 0 NE 0 20 FT WIND GUST..... .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............19 21 24 26 29 33 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................49 52 64 69 73 71 RH..................100 100 76 64 56 62 20 FT WIND (MPH)....E 1 E 2 E 5 SE 6 SE 7 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST..... $$ FORECASTER...ELARDO REQUESTED BY...JAMES CHERRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091108.PINEC.01/MHX