FNUS73 KPAH 081247 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CEDAR GROVE RX...USFS SHAWNEE NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 647 AM CST SUN NOV 8 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON NOVEMBER 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DISPERSION A BIT QUESTIONABLE TODAY WITH MIXING HEIGHTS BARELY ABOVE 1700 FT AGL PRIOR TO IGNITION TIME...AND THEN ONLY TOPPING OUT AT AROUND 2500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL ONLY BE A MODEST 10-12 MPH. OTHERWISE...NO PROBLEMS EXPECTED TODAY. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL DROP SIGNIFICANTLY SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET...AND AS WINDS GO NEARLY CALM...GOOD HUMIDITY RECOVERY EXPECTED TONIGHT. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE A BIT HIGHER MONDAY...OTHERWISE NO NOTABLE DIFFERENCES EXPECTED FROM TODAYS NUMBERS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...MAX 74. RH..................54 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2000-2400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............64 67 70 72 73 72 71 66 RH..............54 51 46 41 39 41 43 49 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW S S TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 13 13 13 13 12 9 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50. RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL AT SUNSET...QUICKLY DROPPING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 10 PM. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............64 60 57 55 54 52 RH..............56 66 75 84 84 90 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 4 S 4 S 4 S 3 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 1500 1100 1000 1000 900 TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 S 6 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71. RH..................MIN 45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL AT SUNRISE...INCREASING TO 2400-3500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............51 59 67 70 RH..............91 69 53 48 20 FT WIND......S 2 SE 2G5 SE 4G5 E 4G5 MIX HGT (FT)....900 2000 3400 3300 TRANSPORT WIND..S 5 S 8 SW 9 S 8 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...SPAETH REQUESTED BY...JON TEUTRINE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091108.CEDAR.02/PAH