FNUS73 KPAH 081509 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR STATE OF IL TRACT 50 58 59...USFS SHAWNEE NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 909 AM CST SUN NOV 8 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON NOVEMBER 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DISPERSION A BIT QUESTIONABLE TODAY WITH MIXING HEIGHTS BARELY ABOVE 1700 FT AGL PRIOR TO IGNITION TIME...AND THEN ONLY TOPPING OUT AT AROUND 2500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL ONLY BE A MODEST 10-12 MPH. OTHERWISE...NO PROBLEMS EXPECTED TODAY. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL DROP SIGNIFICANTLY SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET...AND AS WINDS GO NEARLY CALM...GOOD HUMIDITY RECOVERY EXPECTED TONIGHT. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE A BIT HIGHER MONDAY WITH WINDS TRENDING LIGHTER AND HUMIDITIES INCREASE A BIT...OTHERWISE NO NOTABLE DIFFERENCES EXPECTED FROM TODAYS NUMBERS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 74. RH..................54 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...THEN SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2000-2400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............66 69 71 73 74 74 73 70 RH..............56 48 43 40 40 41 43 49 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 18 15 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 13 13 13 12 9 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53. RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL AT SUNSET...QUICKLY DROPPING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 10 PM. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............66 64 62 60 59 58 58 57 56 56 55 54 RH..............56 58 60 64 67 72 75 77 80 80 83 90 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 3 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.1 1.8 1.6 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 5 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...DODD/YORK REQUESTED BY...SCOTT CRIST TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091108.STATE.01/PAH