FNUS73 KJKL 091505
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOST POLLY...USDA - DANIEL BOONE NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1005 AM EST MON NOV 9 2009

...LOW TRANSPORT WINDS AND MIXING HEIGHTS WILL LIKELY HINDER SMOKE
DISPERSION TODAY...

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0815 EST ON NOVEMBER 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SOME HIGH CLOUDS OUT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING SYSTEM ARE MOVING INTO
EASTERN KENTUCKY THIS MORNING. THE CLOUDS SHOULD GENERALLY GET
THICKER AND START LOWERING DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. TODAY HIGHS
WILL RANGE FROM 70 TO 75. THIS WILL HELP TO BRING THE MIN RH LESS
THAN 25 THIS AFTERNOON. THE LACK OF WINDS KEEPS THIS FROM BEING A
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS TONIGHT AND A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON TUESDAY AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THE SYSTEM WILL FINALLY MOVE OUT OF THE
AREA ON TUESDAY NIGHT. THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL BE DRY AS HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES BACK INTO THE AREA.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
POP.................10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 3 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...LIGHT WINDS.
RIDGETOP WIND.......LIGHT WINDS.
POP.................20 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
POP.................50 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 4 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....22.

$$
FORECASTER...GREIF
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091109.LOSTP.01/JKL