FNUS72 KMFL 091816
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR HENDRY COUNTY WILDFIRE BURN...HENDRY COUNTY EOC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
116 PM EST MON NOV 9 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

DISCUSSION...WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES AND WITH TROPICAL
STORM IDA MOVING TOWARD THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT EXISTS
OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AND STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE AFFECTING THE AREA...ESPECIALLY
THE AREA OF THE BURN.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS 25 TO 29 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE BURN
SITE THROUGH 7 PM THEN WITH THE SETTING SUN...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE AND
BECOME EAST 6 TO 10 MPH WHICH COULD PERSIST ALMOST ALL NIGHT.

A FEW RAIN SHOWERS HAVE BEEN MOVING ONSHORE FROM THE ATLANTIC AND EXTEND TO LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. THE BULK OF THE SHOWERS WILL BE WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE FIRE
SITE. SOME RAIN THOUGH HAS FALLEN NEAR MONTURA. DUE TO THE FAST MOVEMENT OF THE
SHOWERS...RAINFALL HAS BEEN VERY LIGHT BUT A CONCERN THAT IF A SHOWER MOVES OVER
THE AREA...WIND GUSTS COULD EXCEED 30 MPH.

WINDS SHIFT TO SOUTHEAST AGAIN TUESDAY BUT MUCH LOWER THAN TODAY THROUGH STEADY
20 FOOT WINDS AROUND 10 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY TO NEAR 20 MPH.
BRIEF FAST MOVING RAIN SHOWERS WILL OCCUR IN THE AFTERNOON WITH NO SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATION.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 1 PM EST 11/09/09
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...


___________________________________________________________________
FORECAST FOR MONDAY
TIME(EST)             2PM         5PM         8PM          11PM
___________________________________________________________________
SKY.................. PTCLDY      PTCLDY       PTCLDY       PTCLDY
WX................... SHRA        SHRA         SHRA         SHRA
CHANCE OF PRECIP (%). 20          20           20           20
TEMP (F)............. 85          81           74           72
DEW PT (F)........... 68          69           69           70
RH (%)............... 56          65           85           94
20 FT WIND (MPH)..... SE-17G26    E-12G19      E-6          E-8
MIXING HGT (FT, AGL). 4500        4000         700          700
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH). E-29        E-23         E-13         E-11
LAL.................. 1           1            1            1
LDSI................. 85          64           12           10
LVORI................ 1           1            4            5

___________________________________________________________________

OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY NIGHT
___________________________________________________________________

SKY.................... MOSTLY CLOUDY.
WX..................... SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
POP(%)................. 20
MIN TEMPERATURE (F).... 68
MAX DEW PT (F)......... 70
MAX RH (%)............. 100
AVG 20FT WIND (MPH).... EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 10 MPH.
MIN LDSI............... 8
MAX LVORI.............. 8
___________________________________________________________________

OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON
___________________________________________________________________

SKY.................... MOSTLY CLOUDY.
WX..................... SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
POP(%)................. 30
MAX TEMPERATURE (F).... 86
MIN DEW PT (F)......... 71
MIN RH (%)............. 61
AVG 20FT WIND (MPH).... SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
AVG TRANS WIND (MPH)... SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MAX LDSI............... 59
MIXING HGT (FT, AGL)...  4500

NO WX  = NO WEATHER          MOCLR  = MOSTLY CLEAR
SHRA   = SHOWERS             PTCLDY = PARTLY CLOUDY
TSRA   = THUNDERSTORMS       MOCLDY = MOSTLY CLOUDY
CLR    = CLEAR               CLDY   = CLOUDY

$$