FNUS73 KPAH 091744 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFALO TRAIL...LAND BETWEEN THE LAKES NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1144 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1155 CST ON NOVEMBER 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DESPITE THE ABSENCE OF ANY PRECIPITATION...FAVORABLE WEATHER CONDITONS TODAY WILL BE MARGINAL FOR FIRE WEATHER AGENCIES. MOSTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY SKIES TODAY WILL SLOW THE RATE OF WARMING TODAY. THE COMBINATION OF THE SLOWER DIURNAL CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEAST TWENTY FOOT AND TRANSPORT WINDS...WILL HOLD MIXING HEIGHTS WITHIN TWO TO FOUR HUNDRED FEET OF THE 1700 FOOT MIXING HEIGHT THRESHOLD UNTIL THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS. IN ADDITION...MINIMUM DAYTIME RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL STAY ABOVE 35 TO 45 PERCENT TODAY. A WEAKENING COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PUSH INTO THE HEARTLAND FROM THE NORTH THIS EVENING...EVENTUALLY WORKING THROUGH THE REGION BY MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHTS ACROSS THE MARK TWAIN AND SHAWNEE NATIONAL FOREST AREAS WILL IMPROVE ON TUESDAY...BUT WILL REMAIN MARGINAL ACROSS SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY. A SMALL CHANCE FOR SPRINKLES OR DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR WESTERN KENTUCKY ON TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE HEARTLAND FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...BEFORE THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM AND A CHANCE OF RAIN MOVES INTO THE AREA NEXT WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........70 AT IGNITION...MAX 73. RH..................51 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 800-1800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 7 MPH. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............68 70 71 72 72 70 66 RH..............51 46 44 43 43 47 56 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51. RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 MPH OR LESS. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............63 59 57 55 54 53 RH..............62 69 69 73 79 83 20 FT WIND......E 2 E 2 E 2 NE 1 NE 2 NE 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 4 5 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69. RH..................MIN 44 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 0 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 9 TO 16 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 2 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............52 59 66 67 RH..............82 72 53 50 20 FT WIND......NE 3G5 NE 5 NE 5G10 NE 6G10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...PACKETT REQUESTED BY...REGINA ROBY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091109.BUFFA.01/PAH