FNUS73 KPAH 101557 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR LIGHTNING RIDGE...MISSOURI DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 957 AM CST TUE NOV 10 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON NOVEMBER 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL BE THE DAYS OF CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM. THERE WILL BE FAIRLY DEEP MIXING LAYERS WITH EXTREMELY DRY AIR ALOFT. THEREFORE...COULD SEE RH'S DROP OUT SIMILAR TO LAST WEEK AS THE DRY AIR MIXES DOWN. HAVE ALREADY WENT WELL BELOW MODEL GUIDANCE FOR RH BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AND MAY HAVE TO DROP EVEN MORE AS SUCCESSIVE MODEL RUNS TRY TO CATCH UP. IN ADDITION EXPECT SOME GUSTY WINDS WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. GUSTY WINDS WITH AN EASTERLY COMPONENT ARE UNUSUAL FOR THIS AREA. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 69. RH..................62 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL AT IGNITION. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 13 TO 22 MPH...THEN INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............66 67 68 66 64 60 RH..............62 57 50 48 50 58 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45. RH..................MAX 87 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 18 TO 26 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 0 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............57 53 51 49 48 47 RH..............77 86 86 82 83 81 20 FT WIND......NE 7 NE 7 NE 6 NE 6 NE 6 NE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....3 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...YORK REQUESTED BY...JAMIE HUBERT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091110.LIGHT.01/PAH