FNUS73 KPAH 111658 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR HILLMAN FERRY...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1058 AM CST WED NOV 11 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON NOVEMBER 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO REGION TODAY. MUCH DRIER AIR WILL BE ADVECTING INTO THE REGION...BUT GOOD MIXING IS ALSO EXPECTED. THE COMBINATION OF THESE TWO MECHANISMS SHOULD RESULT IN MINIMUM HUMIDITIES IN THE 30S. TO GO ALONG WITH THE DRYING WILL BE SOME OCCASIONALLY GUSTY WINDS OVER WEST KENTUCKY. A FEW GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THOSE AREAS. SUSTAINED WINDS SHOULD STAY BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS. FOR THURSDAY...THE SURFACE HIGH SETTLES OVER THE REGION...WHICH COULD RESULT IN EVEN DRIER CONDITIONS...BUT THE WINDS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER. SOUTH WINDS WILL RETURN FRIDAY. A WARMING AND MOISTENING TREND WILL CONTINUE UNTIL A FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION SOMETIME LATE THIS WEEKEND. SOME SHOWERS MAY ACCOMPANY THE FRONT THROUGH THE AREA. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 63. RH..................50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28-30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 10-12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1500-3400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 20 MPH. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............57 60 61 61 61 60 55 RH..............48 40 35 33 33 32 33 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 8 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 15 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 5 5 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 33. RH..................MAX 87 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1100 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............47 42 40 38 37 36 RH..............43 53 59 67 70 72 20 FT WIND......NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 NE 4 NE 4 NE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 62. RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-4100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............40 48 58 60 RH..............75 58 42 35 20 FT WIND......NE 4G5 E 4G10 E 5G10 SE 5G10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...WFOPADUCAH REQUESTED BY...REGINA ROBY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091111.HILLM.01/PAH