FNUS73 KUNR 110416
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR RED BEDS...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
916 PM MST TUE NOV 10 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 MST ON NOVEMBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING MILD CONDITIONS TO THE BURN AREA
TOMORROW. MIXING HEIGHTS COULD BE A BIT OF A CONCERN...BUT AT THIS
TIMES IT DOES APPEAR THAT TEMPERATURES WILL BECOME WARM ENOUGH TO
ALLOW SMOKE DISPERSION TO RISE INTO THE FAIR CATEGORY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 30.
RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.VETERANS DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........45 AT IGNITION...MAX 61.
RH..................45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....RISING TO FAIR IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TOMORROW NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40.
RH..................MAX 67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

$$
FORECASTER...JJ
REQUESTED BY...DAN SWANSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091111.REDBE.01/UNR