FNUS75 KBOU 121242 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR VASQUEZ RIDGE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 530 AM MST THU NOV 12 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TODAY IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING TROUGH. UPSTREAM TERRAIN SHOULD REDUCE THE SPEEDS IN AT THE BURN SITE...THOUGH THERE COULD STILL BE SOME STRONG GUSTS. CLOUD COVER WILL REDUCE THE MIXING DEPTH...THOUGH THE BURN SITE WILL BE IN THE MIXED LAYER EVEN EARLY THIS MORNING. SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION ARE EXPECTED...WITH THE MAIN PERIODS OF ACCUMULATION LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1100...THEN CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1100. MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-45. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL RISING TO 5000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....22-26. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 2000 FT AGL BY 2000 AND 1000 FT AGL BY 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2200. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-34. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 2000 FT AGL BY 0900 AND 4000 FT BY 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS AROUND 19. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR VASQUEZ RIDGE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/12-04 61 0 37 52 S 10 1 1592 SW 28 38712 P 11/12-05 61 0 37 51 SW 13 13 2 1 W54 1590 SW 31 42747 F 11/12-06 61 0 36 50 SW 16 1 1961 SW 35 62055 G 11/12-07 57 0 36 49 SW 20 1 2331 W 39 81362 G 11/12-08 57 0 37 47 W 21 33 2 1 W47 2702 W 43 100670 V 11/12-09 57 0 39 45 W 22 1 3140 W 45 122743 V 11/12-10 57 0 40 41 W 23 1 3577 W 46 144817 V 11/12-11 70 10 42 38 W 24 39 2 1 W51 4015 W 48 166890 E 11/12-12 70 10 42 37 W 25 1 4134 W 48 174879 E 11/12-13 70 10 43 36 W 25 1 4252 W 49 182868 E 11/12-14 70 10 43 36 W 25 40 2 1 W58 4370 W 51 190857 E 11/12-15 70 10 42 38 W 24 1 4008 W 48 168242 E 11/12-16 70 10 41 41 W 22 1 3645 W 46 145626 V 11/12-17 93 56 38 47 W 20 31 2 1 W53 3282 W 43 123011 V 11/12-18 93 56 36 53 W 18 1 2598 W 39 92919 G 11/12-19 93 56 33 60 W 17 1 1915 W 35 62826 G 11/12-20 93 56 30 67 W 16 25 2 1 SW52 1232 W 31 32734 P 11/12-21 93 56 29 72 W 16 1 1111 W 28 27599 P 11/12-22 93 56 28 75 W 15 1 991 W 25 22464 P 11/12-23 100 66 28 78 SW 15 24 2 1 SW66 871 W 23 17329 P 11/13-00 100 66 27 81 W 13 1 928 W 22 17630 P 11/13-01 100 66 26 84 W 9 1 986 W 21 17931 P 11/13-02 100 66 26 86 W 8 8 2 1 W79 1043 W 20 18232 P 11/13-03 100 66 25 88 W 8 1 1150 W 18 18750 P 11/13-04 100 66 25 89 W 8 1 1257 W 17 19268 P 11/13-05 100 70 25 88 W 7 7 2 1 SW64 1423 W 15 18373 P 11/13-06 100 70 25 90 W 7 1 1877 W 15 24315 P 11/13-07 100 70 25 90 W 7 1 2331 W 15 30257 P 11/13-08 100 70 26 85 W 7 7 2 1 SW55 2785 W 15 36199 P 11/13-09 100 70 28 78 W 7 1 3406 W 16 47218 F 11/13-10 100 70 30 72 NW 6 1 4027 W 16 58238 F 11/13-11 100 70 30 69 NW 6 6 2 1 SW58 4648 W 17 69257 G 11/13-12 100 70 31 65 W 6 1 4744 W 17 72856 G 11/13-13 100 70 31 62 W 6 1 4840 SW 18 76454 G 11/13-14 100 70 31 60 W 6 6 2 1 SW55 4937 SW 18 80053 G 11/13-15 100 70 31 58 W 6 1 4280 W 17 66676 G 11/13-16 100 70 30 59 W 6 1 3623 W 16 53298 F 11/13-17 100 60 27 65 W 7 7 2 1 SW46 2966 W 15 39921 P 11/13-18 100 60 24 72 W 5 1 2351 W 12 28172 P 11/13-19 100 60 22 77 NW 3 1 1736 W 8 16424 P 11/13-20 100 60 22 81 NW 2 2 2 1 SW37 1121 W 5 4676 P 11/13-21 100 60 21 85 NW 2 1 1033 W 5 4113 P 11/13-22 100 60 20 88 NW 3 1 945 NW 5 3549 P 11/13-23 100 60 20 89 NW 3 3 2 1 SW33 857 NW 3 2986 P 11/14-00 100 60 19 91 NW 5 1 995 NW 7 6339 P 11/14-01 100 60 19 92 NW 6 1 1133 W 9 9691 P 11/14-02 100 60 18 93 W 8 8 2 1 SW31 1272 W 12 13043 P 11/14-03 100 60 18 94 W 8 1 1369 W 13 15570 P 11/14-04 100 60 17 94 W 8 1 1466 W 14 18096 P 11/14-05 100 60 17 95 W 8 8 2 1 SW24 1564 W 15 20622 P 11/14-06 100 60 17 96 W 8 1 1947 W 18 34405 P 11/14-07 100 60 17 95 W 9 1 2329 W 23 48187 F 11/14-08 100 60 19 87 W 9 9 2 1 SW23 2712 W 26 61969 G 11/14-09 100 60 21 79 W 12 1 3392 W 26 77289 G 11/14-10 100 60 23 71 W 12 1 4072 W 26 92609 G 11/14-11 100 60 24 68 W 12 12 2 1 SW31 4753 W 26 107929 V 11/14-12 100 60 25 66 W 10 1 4996 W 23 101206 V 11/14-13 95 60 25 65 W 9 1 5240 W 21 94483 G 11/14-14 95 60 25 64 W 7 7 2 1 SW33 5484 W 18 87760 G 11/14-15 95 60 25 65 W 6 1 5131 SW 16 71850 G 11/14-16 95 60 24 67 NE 5 1 4778 S 13 55939 F 11/14-17 95 60 22 73 E 3 3 3 1 SW37 4425 S 10 40028 F 11/14-18 95 60 19 79 SE 3 1 3585 S 9 30474 P 11/14-19 95 60 18 83 S 3 1 2746 SW 8 20920 P 11/14-20 95 60 17 83 S 3 3 3 1 SW16 1906 SW 7 11367 P 11/14-21 95 60 16 84 S 3 1 1585 S 7 9480 P 11/14-22 95 60 16 85 SE 5 1 1264 SE 7 7594 P 11/14-23 95 60 15 85 E 5 5 3 1 SW17 943 E 7 5708 P 11/15-00 95 60 15 86 E 7 1 1192 E 9 10701 P 11/15-01 95 60 15 87 E 8 1 1441 E 12 15694 P 11/15-02 95 60 14 88 E 9 9 3 1 S17 1691 E 14 20687 P 11/15-03 95 60 14 90 E 8 1 1697 E 13 17834 P 11/15-04 95 60 14 91 NE 7 1 1703 E 10 14981 P 11/15-05 85 60 13 94 E 7 7 3 1 E 3 1710 E 8 12128 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...SULPHUR RANGER DISTRICT ARAPAHO-ROOSEVELT NF REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091112.VASQU.01/BOU