FNUS73 KLOT 121354 FWSLOT SPOT FORECAST FOR MILLER WOODS UNIT 1...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 754 AM CST THU NOV 12 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CST ON NOVEMBER 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM NEW ENGLAND WEST THROUGH THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES AND INTO NORTHERN ILLINOIS THIS MORNING. LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE FROM THE SOUTHEAST ALONG WESTERN PORTION OF THIS HIGH...THOUGH SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS WEAK IN VICINITY OF RIDGE AXIS. SURFACE HIGH TO MOVE EAST THROUGH THE DAY...WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS INCREASING A BIT LATER THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON. VERY LIGHT SOUTHEAST WIND COMPONENT DOES SUGGEST SOME POTENTIAL FOR WIND TO SHIFT EAST OR SLIGHTLY NORTH OF EAST MAINLY THIS MORNING WHEN GRADIENT IS WEAKEST...THOUGH AS ADJACENT LAND AREAS WARM UP TO LAKE TEMPERATURES IT APPEARS THERE WILL BE JUST ENOUGH SOUTHEAST GRADIENT TO KEEP LAKE BREEZE OFF SHORE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........50 AT IGNITION...MAX 58. RH..................58 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 2400-2800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 16 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /19900 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR /30200 KNOT-FT/. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........15 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............47 50 54 56 57 57 55 52 RH..............58 49 43 39 37 38 41 47 20 FT WIND DIR..140 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.8 2.4 2.8 2.9 2.7 2.1 1.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.150 170 180 170 170 160 160 150 TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 12 12 12 13 14 16 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VRATE KT-FT/100013 20 26 29 30 30 26 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35. RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 22 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4100-14100 KNOT-FT). TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........22 21 21 20 20 19 19 20 22 23 25 27 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............49 47 45 44 43 42 41 40 39 38 36 35 RH..............53 58 62 64 64 63 62 64 67 70 74 78 20 FT WIND DIR..150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 160 160 160 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 160 160 160 160 TRANSP WIND SPD.17 18 20 20 21 21 22 22 22 21 22 22 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VRATE KT-FT/100014 10 7 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 60. RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 1500-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1800-2100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 1300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 TO 25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3300-46800 KNOT-FT). TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........28 28 28 29 29 29 29 31 32 34 36 37 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............35 37 40 45 50 55 59 60 60 60 57 54 RH..............79 76 73 66 56 47 41 39 39 39 43 50 20 FT WIND DIR..160 160 160 170 170 170 180 170 170 170 160 160 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 8 8 8 9 10 10 11 11 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.5 1.9 2.1 2.1 1.8 1.3 0.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.160 160 170 170 170 180 180 180 170 170 160 160 TRANSP WIND SPD.22 23 24 24 23 23 23 22 23 23 24 25 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VRATE KT-FT/10005 4 4 7 18 32 42 47 46 41 30 16 $$ FORECASTER...RATZER REQUESTED BY...NEAL MULCONREY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091112.MILLE.01/LOT