FNUS73 KPAH 121205 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR BUTTERMILK HILL BLOWDOWN UNITS 11 14...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 605 AM CST THU NOV 12 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CST ON NOVEMBER 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... VERY DRY AIR IS ALREADY IN PLACE OVER THE HEARTLAND. THEREFORE...EXPECT SIMILAR READINGS TO YESTERDAYS RH. THE MAIN DIFFERENCE WILL BE A MAJOR DECREASE IN WIND SPEEDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA TODAY. OTHERWISE EXPECT MOISTURE TO SLOWLY INCREASE AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND WITH THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN TO ARRIVE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........50 AT IGNITION...MAX 62. RH..................53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 23 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL AT IGNITION. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 12 TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............45 50 54 57 59 60 60 58 54 RH..............53 44 38 33 29 27 26 29 35 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36. RH..................MAX 76 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1000 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............50 46 43 41 41 39 RH..............42 51 62 67 65 70 20 FT WIND......SE 2 SE 3 SE 3 SE 2 SE 2 SE 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65. RH..................MIN 30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 5 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 17 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............38 48 61 64 RH..............76 58 35 31 20 FT WIND......SE 2G5 S 5G10 S 6G15 S 6G15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...HOOPER REQUESTED BY...SCOTT CRIST TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091112.BUTTE.01/PAH