FNUS73 KARX 131336
FWSARX

SPOT FORECAST FOR KELLY FIRE...MN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
736 AM CST FRI NOV 13 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON NOVEMBER 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE.

.DISCUSSION...LOW CLOUDS WILL COVER THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT...ALTHOUGH THE THREAT FOR ANY SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL WAIT
UNTIL TONIGHT. PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN FAIRLY TIGHT AHEAD OF
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT THIS MORNING...BUT WILL START TO SLACKEN
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT SOUTH WINDS THROUGHOUT THE DAY...WITH
SOME GUSTS INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. THERE SHOULD BE A WEAKENING
WIND TREND AS THE AFTERNOON WEARS ON.

THE COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP INTO THE REGION BY SATURDAY MORNING.
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND BEHIND THE BOUNDARY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN TOWARD
                    EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........52 AT IGNITION...MAX 54.
RH..................61 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 56.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH.
CWR.................NONE.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /44400 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN RAIN LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................18 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN...POOR /1300 KNOT-FT/.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 48.
RH..................MIN 65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................NONE.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX...GOOD /46200 KNOT-FT/.

$$
FORECASTER...TR
REQUESTED BY...MATT GRAEVE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091113.KELLY.01/ARX