FNUS75 KBOU 130326 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR REYNOLDS RANCH...BOULDER COUNTY SHERIFF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 820 PM MST THU NOV 12 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA AND BACK INTO THE FOOTHILLS EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THIS WILL USHER IN COOLER TEMPERATURES AND A CHANCE OF SNOW. SNOW WILL BE LIKELY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS FRIDAY...WITH A COUPLE INCHES OF SNOW EXPECTED. SMOKE DISPERSION SHOULD STILL BE GOOD WITH ENOUGH MIXING AND A HIGH PROBABILITY OF SNOW. ANOTHER POTENTIALLY STRONGER AND COLDER STORM MAY AFFECT THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WITH ANOTHER CHANCE OF ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....33. MAX HUMIDITY........67%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST 12-20 MPH UNTIL 0100...THEN 5-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 49-60 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 32-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0400...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-40. MIN HUMIDITY........56%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 4-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-18 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....21. MAX HUMIDITY........85%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE 2-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 1400-2000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1700...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....31. MIN HUMIDITY........56%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 6-11 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN NORTHEAST 5-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR REYNOLDS RANCH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/12-21 82 10 41 44 W 16 1 3023 W 54 141169 V 11/12-22 82 10 39 48 W 16 1 2593 W 53 120336 V 11/12-23 94 29 38 50 W 16 28 2 1 SW63 2164 W 53 99504 G 11/13-00 94 29 37 53 W 16 1 2128 W 49 91625 G 11/13-01 94 29 36 55 W 15 1 2092 W 46 83746 G 11/13-02 94 29 36 58 W 14 20 2 1 SW59 2056 W 43 75867 G 11/13-03 94 29 35 59 W 12 1 2065 W 37 65430 G 11/13-04 94 29 34 61 W 10 1 2075 SW 31 54993 F 11/13-05 97 44 34 63 W 9 9 2 1 SW69 2084 SW 24 44556 F 11/13-06 97 44 34 65 W 8 1 2389 SW 24 50448 F 11/13-07 97 44 34 67 W 6 1 2693 SW 24 56339 F 11/13-08 97 44 35 67 E 5 5 2 1 SW60 2998 SW 24 62231 G 11/13-09 97 44 39 56 E 5 1 3763 SW 24 77566 G 11/13-10 97 44 40 56 E 5 1 4527 SW 24 92901 G 11/13-11 100 56 40 56 E 5 5 2 1 SW49 5292 SW 23 108236 V 11/13-12 100 56 39 56 E 5 1 5182 SW 24 107033 V 11/13-13 100 56 38 60 E 5 1 5072 SW 24 105830 V 11/13-14 100 56 36 64 E 5 5 2 1 SW52 4962 SW 24 104627 V 11/13-15 100 56 35 68 NE 4 1 4831 SW 24 99270 G 11/13-16 100 56 34 72 NE 3 1 4701 W 23 93912 G 11/13-17 100 50 34 70 E 3 3 2 1 SW36 4571 W 22 88555 G 11/13-18 100 50 31 75 NE 2 1 3921 SW 13 46675 F 11/13-19 100 50 29 75 CALM 1 3004 SW 9 28136 P 11/13-20 100 50 28 69 CALM 1 2 1 SW41 2087 S 6 9597 P 11/13-21 100 50 26 72 CALM 1 2007 S 6 10090 P 11/13-22 100 50 26 74 E 2 1 1926 S 7 10584 P 11/13-23 95 40 25 76 E 2 2 2 1 SW51 1845 S 7 11077 P 11/14-00 95 40 24 77 E 2 1 1736 S 7 10650 P 11/14-01 95 40 24 79 W 2 1 1626 S 7 10223 P 11/14-02 95 40 23 80 W 2 2 2 1 SW48 1516 S 7 9796 P 11/14-03 95 40 23 81 W 3 1 1447 S 7 8704 P 11/14-04 95 40 23 82 W 5 1 1377 S 6 7611 P 11/14-05 95 40 22 84 W 6 6 2 1 SW46 1308 SW 6 6519 P 11/14-06 95 40 22 85 W 7 1 1501 SW 6 8123 P 11/14-07 95 40 22 85 W 7 1 1694 SW 7 9727 P 11/14-08 95 40 24 80 W 8 8 2 1 SW30 1887 S 7 11331 P 11/14-09 95 40 26 72 W 8 1 2541 S 9 22045 P 11/14-10 95 40 28 66 W 9 1 3194 S 12 32758 P 11/14-11 100 40 29 63 W 9 9 2 1 S20 3847 S 13 43471 F 11/14-12 100 40 30 60 W 7 1 4010 S 14 49392 F 11/14-13 100 40 30 58 NW 5 1 4174 SW 15 55312 F 11/14-14 100 40 31 57 NW 2 2 2 1 SW24 4337 SW 16 61233 G 11/14-15 100 40 30 56 N 3 1 4003 SW 13 45630 F 11/14-16 100 40 29 57 NE 3 1 3669 SW 9 30027 P 11/14-17 100 60 28 60 E 5 5 2 1 SW23 3335 SW 5 14424 P 11/14-18 100 60 26 64 E 5 1 2943 SW 5 11863 P 11/14-19 100 60 24 66 E 3 1 2551 W 5 9303 P 11/14-20 100 60 24 66 E 3 3 2 1 SW15 2159 W 3 6743 P 11/14-21 100 60 23 66 E 5 1 1883 SW 3 5267 P 11/14-22 100 60 22 67 E 5 1 1607 SW 2 3792 P 11/14-23 100 60 22 67 E 6 6 2 1 SW20 1331 S 2 2317 P 11/15-00 100 60 22 67 NE 7 1 1245 S 2 2464 P 11/15-01 100 60 21 67 NE 8 1 1158 E 2 2612 P 11/15-02 100 60 21 68 NE 10 10 3 1 SW23 1072 NE 3 2760 P 11/15-03 100 60 21 69 NE 8 1 1166 NE 3 3269 P 11/15-04 100 60 20 70 NE 7 1 1260 E 3 3777 P 11/15-05 100 50 20 72 NE 7 7 2 1 SW13 1355 E 3 4286 P 11/15-06 100 50 20 74 NE 7 1 1544 E 3 5081 P 11/15-07 100 50 21 73 E 8 1 1733 E 3 5876 P 11/15-08 100 50 23 69 E 8 8 2 1 S 3 1922 E 3 6670 P 11/15-09 100 50 26 63 E 8 1 2969 E 3 9176 P 11/15-10 100 50 28 57 E 7 1 4016 E 3 11682 P 11/15-11 93 50 30 55 E 7 7 2 1 SE 2 5063 E 3 14187 P 11/15-12 93 50 31 55 E 7 1 5116 E 3 16011 P 11/15-13 93 50 31 56 E 7 1 5168 N 3 17835 P 11/15-14 93 50 31 56 E 6 6 2 1 NW 2 5221 N 5 19659 P 11/15-15 93 50 31 58 E 6 1 4804 N 6 23093 P 11/15-16 93 50 30 62 E 5 1 4387 N 7 26527 P 11/15-17 85 20 28 69 E 5 5 2 1 N 6 3970 N 9 29961 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...1592 STALNACKER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091113.REYNO.02/BOU