FNUS73 KDVN 131421
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR TURKEY ISLAND...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
821 AM CST FRI NOV 13 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0820 CST ON NOVEMBER 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL REMAIN WEST OF THE AREA TODAY...WITH SOUTH WINDS
SUSTAINED AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH AT TIMES THROUGH
EARLY AFTERNOON.  LATE THIS AFTERNOON...WINDS WILL DECREASE TO AROUND
10 MPH...WITH FEW GUSTS.  LATE TONIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES EAST...WINDS
SHOULD BECOME LIGHT AND SWITCH TO THE NORTHWEST TOWARDS MORNING.  A LOW
CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL OCCUR WITH THIS FRONT LATE TONIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 63.
RH..................68 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS SOUTH AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NONE
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 14 TO 23 MPH.

TIME (CST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............46     51     58     61     59
RH..............68     59     47     44     51
EYE LEVEL WIND..160/12 160/14 160/15 160/15 150/14
EYE LEVEL WIND..15     20     20     20     20
HAINES INDEX....4      4      3      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46.
RH..................MAX 80 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........SWITCH TO LIGHT NORTHWEST AFTER 4 AM.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NONE
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 13 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 57.
RH..................MIN 64 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................NONE
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ERVIN
REQUESTED BY...ERIK ACKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091113.TURKE.01/DVN