FNUS75 KGJT 131347
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR RIDGESTOCK TS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
647 AM MST FRI NOV 13 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MST ON NOVEMBER 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET WILL ORIENT ITSELF FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO TODAY. THIS WILL BRING GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A WIND SHIFT EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION. IN ADDITION...
HEAVY SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE SAN JUAN
MOUNTAINS BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH. OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 25 MPH
                    DURING THE AFTERNOON AND NEAR SNOW SHOWERS. WINDS
                    SHIFTING TO THE WEST BY 1400.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO VERY GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO NEAR 4000 FT FT AGL BY 1100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 34 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 4-8 MPH...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    2-5 MPH BY 1900.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN BECOMING POOR (20000 KNOT-FT)
                    BY MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 1000 FT AGL BY MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 34 MPH DECREASING TO 24 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    5-10 MPH BY 1200. OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 20000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING VERY GOOD BY 1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 6500 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...ARTHUR HAINES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091113.RIDGE.01/GJT