FNUS74 KLZK 131836 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR RAZOR FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 1236 PM CST FRI NOV 13 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1223 CST ON NOVEMBER 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD OVER THE AREA FOR A FEW MORE DAYS...WITH CLOUDS MOVING IN LATE IN THE WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE INTO ARKANSAS SUNDAY AND MOVE SLOWLY THROUGH THE STATE. SEVERAL SHORTWAVES WILL INTERACT WITH THE FRONT...WITH RAIN CHANCES PERSISTING THROUGH TUESDAY. AS THE FRONT PUSHES EAST...THE ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE AREA. THERE IS SOME DISAGREEMENT ON PLACEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...THE MOST DRAMATIC SOLUTION PLACES THE SYSTEM DIRECTLY OVER CENTRAL ARKANSAS. IF THIS SOLUTION PANS OUT...HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THESE DETAILS WILL BE FINE TUNED IN LATER FORECASTS. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........67 AT REQUEST...MAX 68. RH..................39 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 36 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 16 TO 17 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 2500 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 7 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............67 68 68 67 65 62 RH..............39 37 37 41 47 56 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 8 8 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 5 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 17 17 16 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46. RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 1600 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....5. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............58 54 52 50 48 47 RH..............56 66 73 80 85 88 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 3 3 EYE LVL WND GST.5 3 3 3 3 3 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 14 8 8 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70. RH..................MIN 52 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 2800 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............46 55 65 69 RH..............92 73 55 52 20 FT WIND......S 3G5 S 7 S 8 S 8 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.2 4 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.8 14 14 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...62 REQUESTED BY...BRIAN SULLIVAN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20091113.RAZOR.01/LZK