FNUS73 KPAH 130245 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR BUTTERMILK HILL BLOWDOWN UNITS 11 14...USFS SHAWNEE NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 845 PM CST THU NOV 12 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON NOVEMBER 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO REMAIN IN FIRM CONTROL INTO THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER...WITH THE HIGH SHIFTING OFF TO THE EAST... SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE A BIT. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........52 AT IGNITION...MAX 64. RH..................52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO NEAR 2800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 22 MPH. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............52 56 59 62 63 63 61 58 RH..............52 47 42 36 34 34 36 42 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 13 10 13 13 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45. RH..................MAX 87 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 700-1400 FT AGL. 20 FT SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL LIKELY KEEP INVERSION FROM LOWERING ALL THE WAY DOWN TO THE SURFACE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............55 52 50 49 48 47 RH..............49 56 63 69 72 81 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 5 S 4 S 4 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67. RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............47 54 63 66 RH..............87 68 51 48 20 FT WIND......S 4G10 S 5G10 S 6G15 S 6G15 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...MEFFERT REQUESTED BY...SCOTT CRIST TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091113.BUTTE.01/PAH