FNUS75 KPUB 131527
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR FOUR CORNERS...FORT CARSON FIRE DEPARTMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
827 AM MST FRI NOV 13 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A WEATHER BOUNDARY SEPARATING MUCH COOLER AIR FROM RELATIVELY WARM
SOUTHWESTERLY AIR WILL STALL ACROSS SOUTHEAST COLORADO TODAY. THIS
BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO STALL JUST NORTH OF THE BURN SITE. IF THIS
OCCURS AS EXPECTED...SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM A SOUTHWESTERLY
DIRECTION THROUGH THE DAYLIGHT HOURS.

IF THE FRONT SHOULD MOVE A BIT FARTHER SOUTH THAN CURRENTLY
PROJECTED...THEN THE SURFACE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST.

THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. BY TOMORROW IT WILL BE
CLOUDY AND COOL WITH MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST 4 TO 8 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTHWEST 10-14
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL
                    2300...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33F.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN
                    NORTH 4 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 24 MPH UNTIL 1800...THEN
                    AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 1900...THEN AROUND 22 MPH
                    UNTIL 2000...THEN WEST AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL
                    0100...THEN NORTH AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL
                    0400...THEN EAST AROUND 3 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51F.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...HODANISH
REQUESTED BY...ANDY CULLAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091113.FOURC.01/PUB