FNUS75 KBOU 140449 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR MUD LAKE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 949 PM MST FRI NOV 13 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE AREA LATE SATURDAY MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL CONTINUE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AND WILL POSSIBLY BE HEAVY AT TIMES SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE 9 TO 15 INCHES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....28-33. MIN HUMIDITY........47-53%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EASTERLY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-5400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....15-20. MAX HUMIDITY........88-98%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5-16 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN EAST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL UNTIL 2300...THEN 1200-2200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW UNTIL 1400...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....25-30. MIN HUMIDITY........65-75%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 8-13 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN VARIABLE 2-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-5200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0800...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MUD LAKE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/13-21 100 44 29 75 CALM 1 956 SW 3 2895 P 11/13-22 100 44 28 75 CALM 1 745 SW 2 1971 P 11/13-23 87 44 27 76 CALM 2 2 1 SW38 533 SW 2 1048 P 11/14-00 87 44 25 80 CALM 1 498 SW 3 1278 P 11/14-01 87 44 24 84 CALM 1 463 W 3 1509 P 11/14-02 87 44 23 89 CALM 1 2 1 W35 428 W 5 1740 P 11/14-03 87 44 21 93 CALM 1 440 W 6 2449 P 11/14-04 87 44 21 93 CALM 1 452 W 8 3158 P 11/14-05 90 34 21 91 CALM 8 2 1 W32 464 W 9 3867 P 11/14-06 90 34 22 86 CALM 1 1762 W 21 32531 P 11/14-07 90 34 25 78 E 2 1 2254 W 22 42953 F 11/14-08 90 34 28 70 E 3 7 2 1 W29 2747 W 22 53375 F 11/14-09 90 34 29 66 E 3 1 3591 W 22 68383 G 11/14-10 90 34 30 64 E 3 1 4434 W 22 83391 G 11/14-11 99 63 31 56 E 3 3 2 1 SW29 5278 W 22 98399 G 11/14-12 99 63 31 53 E 3 1 5389 W 18 85988 G 11/14-13 99 63 31 50 E 2 1 5499 SW 15 73576 G 11/14-14 99 71 31 49 NE 3 3 2 1 SW31 5610 SW 13 61165 G 11/14-15 99 71 30 49 E 5 1 5459 SW 12 56501 F 11/14-16 99 71 28 50 E 5 1 5309 SW 12 51838 F 11/14-17 100 70 27 66 CALM 1 2 1 SW33 4116 W 17 62992 G 11/14-18 100 70 26 65 N 2 1 4074 W 16 56330 F 11/14-19 100 70 26 64 NE 3 1 4033 SW 14 49669 F 11/14-20 100 70 26 63 E 3 3 2 1 SW28 3991 SW 13 43007 F 11/14-21 100 70 25 64 E 3 1 3490 SW 10 32970 P 11/14-22 100 70 24 65 E 3 1 2989 S 8 22932 P 11/14-23 100 70 23 67 E 3 3 2 1 SW21 2488 S 6 12895 P 11/15-00 100 70 22 69 E 3 1 2003 S 6 9796 P 11/15-01 100 70 21 72 E 3 1 1519 SE 5 6697 P 11/15-02 100 70 20 74 E 3 3 2 1 SW15 1035 E 3 3598 P 11/15-03 100 70 20 75 NE 5 1 1289 E 5 5652 P 11/15-04 100 70 20 74 NE 6 1 1544 NE 6 7706 P 11/15-05 100 70 21 74 NE 7 7 2 1 NE 3 1798 N 6 9760 P 11/15-06 100 70 22 71 NE 8 1 2638 N 9 26392 P 11/15-07 100 70 23 70 N 9 1 3477 N 13 43025 F 11/15-08 100 70 24 69 N 9 9 2 1 E15 4317 N 16 59657 F 11/15-09 100 70 25 67 N 9 1 4631 N 17 68470 G 11/15-10 100 70 26 65 N 9 1 4945 NE 18 77283 G 11/15-11 100 70 27 65 N 9 9 2 1 E16 5259 NE 18 86096 G 11/15-12 100 70 27 65 NE 8 1 5248 N 16 74739 G 11/15-13 100 70 28 66 NE 7 1 5237 N 14 63382 G 11/15-14 89 40 28 68 NE 6 6 2 1 N 9 5226 N 12 52025 F 11/15-15 89 40 28 69 N 3 1 5084 N 12 50245 F 11/15-16 89 40 28 70 W 2 1 4943 NW 12 48464 F 11/15-17 89 40 27 73 CALM 1 2 1 NW17 4801 NW 12 46683 F 11/15-18 89 40 25 81 SW 2 1 3890 NW 10 36806 P 11/15-19 70 20 22 90 W 3 1 2979 NW 10 26929 P 11/15-20 70 20 20 96 W 6 6 2 1 N28 2068 NW 9 17051 P 11/15-21 70 20 20 94 W 8 1 2274 NW 10 21501 P 11/15-22 70 20 21 90 W 10 1 2481 W 12 25951 P 11/15-23 70 0 21 87 W 13 13 2 1 N55 2688 W 13 30401 P 11/16-00 37 0 20 90 W 14 1 2086 W 14 23793 P 11/16-01 37 0 19 94 W 14 1 1484 W 14 17185 P 11/16-02 37 0 18 96 W 14 22 4 1 N55 883 W 14 10577 P 11/16-03 37 0 17 95 W 15 1 809 W 14 9863 P 11/16-04 37 0 17 94 W 16 1 734 W 15 9149 P 11/16-05 19 0 18 93 W 16 25 4 1 N48 660 W 15 8435 P 11/16-06 19 0 20 85 W 16 1 797 W 14 9310 P 11/16-07 19 0 22 75 W 16 1 935 NW 13 10185 P 11/16-08 19 0 26 65 W 15 24 4 1 N43 1072 NW 12 11060 P 11/16-09 19 0 29 57 W 14 1 1135 NW 12 10785 P 11/16-10 19 0 32 51 W 13 1 1197 NW 10 10509 P 11/16-11 19 0 34 48 W 12 12 4 1 N35 1260 NW 9 10234 P 11/16-12 19 0 33 49 W 10 1 938 NW 9 7646 P 11/16-13 19 0 31 52 W 10 1 615 W 9 5059 P 11/16-14 19 0 28 57 W 9 9 4 1 N26 293 W 9 2471 P 11/16-15 19 0 25 64 W 8 1 423 W 9 3177 P 11/16-16 19 0 22 70 W 7 1 553 NW 8 3882 P 11/16-17 20 0 33 44 NW 6 6 4 1 N21 683 NW 8 4588 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...BOULDER COUNTY SHERIFF S OFFICE REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091114.MUDLA.01/BOU