FNUS75 KBOU 140444 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGARLOAF F1...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 944 PM MST FRI NOV 13 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE AREA LATE SATURDAY MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES SATURDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE 9 TO 15 INCHES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....28-33. MIN HUMIDITY........47-53%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EASTERLY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 5200-5800 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 2000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....15-20. MAX HUMIDITY........88-98%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTHEAST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW UNTIL 1400...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....25-30. MIN HUMIDITY........65-75%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 8-13 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN VARIABLE 2-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SUGARLOAF F1. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/13-21 100 43 28 78 SE 2 1 827 SW 3 2189 P 11/13-22 100 43 28 77 S 2 1 696 SW 2 1729 P 11/13-23 87 43 27 77 S 2 2 2 1 SW37 566 S 2 1269 P 11/14-00 87 43 26 79 CALM 1 535 SW 3 1511 P 11/14-01 87 43 25 82 CALM 1 504 SW 5 1753 P 11/14-02 87 43 24 86 CALM 2 2 1 W33 473 W 5 1995 P 11/14-03 87 43 22 91 CALM 1 468 W 7 2597 P 11/14-04 87 43 21 97 CALM 1 463 W 8 3198 P 11/14-05 88 33 20 98 CALM 10 2 1 W31 458 W 9 3799 P 11/14-06 88 33 21 94 CALM 1 1060 W 18 17176 P 11/14-07 88 33 24 87 S 3 1 1397 W 18 22904 P 11/14-08 88 33 26 80 E 5 9 2 1 W26 1734 W 20 28631 P 11/14-09 88 33 28 75 E 5 1 2913 W 20 50852 F 11/14-10 88 33 30 70 E 6 1 4092 W 21 73072 G 11/14-11 98 62 31 59 E 6 6 2 1 SW25 5271 W 21 95292 G 11/14-12 98 62 31 56 E 5 1 5417 W 18 83278 G 11/14-13 98 62 31 53 E 5 1 5563 SW 15 71263 G 11/14-14 98 69 30 51 E 5 5 2 1 SW31 5710 SW 12 59248 F 11/14-15 98 69 29 50 E 6 1 5503 SW 12 53813 F 11/14-16 98 69 27 52 E 6 1 5297 SW 10 48377 F 11/14-17 100 70 25 72 CALM 1 2 1 SW31 2021 W 13 22781 P 11/14-18 100 70 25 71 N 2 1 1948 W 10 18198 P 11/14-19 100 70 24 71 NE 3 1 1876 W 8 13616 P 11/14-20 100 70 24 70 E 3 3 3 1 SW26 1803 W 6 9033 P 11/14-21 100 70 23 70 E 3 1 1499 NW 5 6750 P 11/14-22 100 70 22 72 E 3 1 1195 NE 3 4466 P 11/14-23 100 70 21 73 E 3 3 2 1 SW21 892 E 2 2183 P 11/15-00 100 70 20 75 E 3 1 758 E 3 1966 P 11/15-01 100 70 20 77 E 3 1 625 E 3 1748 P 11/15-02 100 70 19 79 E 3 3 2 1 SW15 492 E 3 1531 P 11/15-03 100 70 19 80 NE 5 1 546 NE 5 2510 P 11/15-04 100 70 19 81 NE 6 1 600 NE 7 3488 P 11/15-05 100 70 19 82 NE 7 7 2 1 SE 3 654 N 8 4467 P 11/15-06 100 70 20 80 NE 8 1 1382 N 12 17475 P 11/15-07 100 70 21 78 NE 9 1 2109 N 14 30483 P 11/15-08 100 70 22 77 N 10 10 2 1 E16 2837 N 17 43491 F 11/15-09 100 70 23 75 NE 10 1 3437 N 18 55431 F 11/15-10 100 70 24 73 NE 10 1 4036 N 20 67371 G 11/15-11 100 70 25 72 NE 10 10 2 1 E16 4636 NE 20 79311 G 11/15-12 100 70 26 71 NE 9 1 4630 N 17 69880 G 11/15-13 100 70 27 72 NE 8 1 4623 N 15 60448 G 11/15-14 89 40 27 74 NE 6 6 2 1 N 9 4616 N 13 51017 F 11/15-15 89 40 27 76 NE 3 1 4209 N 12 44027 F 11/15-16 89 40 26 79 E 2 1 3801 N 12 37037 P 11/15-17 89 40 25 83 CALM 1 2 1 NW17 3393 NW 10 30047 P 11/15-18 89 40 23 93 S 2 1 2530 NW 9 21670 P 11/15-19 71 20 20 100 SW 3 1 1666 NW 8 13294 P 11/15-20 71 20 19 100 W 6 6 2 1 N25 803 W 7 4917 P 11/15-21 71 20 21 97 W 8 1 1466 W 9 13122 P 11/15-22 71 20 23 87 W 10 1 2128 W 10 21328 P 11/15-23 71 0 24 82 W 13 13 2 1 N52 2791 NW 13 29533 P 11/16-00 37 0 22 88 W 14 1 1999 W 13 21204 P 11/16-01 37 0 19 98 W 15 1 1206 W 13 12875 P 11/16-02 37 0 17 100 W 15 24 3 1 N55 413 W 13 4546 P 11/16-03 37 0 17 100 W 16 1 417 W 13 4737 P 11/16-04 37 0 17 100 W 16 1 420 W 14 4928 P 11/16-05 19 0 17 97 W 17 28 4 1 N48 423 W 14 5118 P 11/16-06 19 0 20 88 W 17 1 600 W 13 6406 P 11/16-07 19 0 23 78 W 18 1 777 NW 12 7694 P 11/16-08 19 0 27 68 W 17 28 4 1 N43 955 NW 10 8981 P 11/16-09 19 0 30 59 W 16 1 986 NW 10 8470 P 11/16-10 19 0 33 53 W 14 1 1018 NW 9 7959 P 11/16-11 19 0 34 51 W 12 12 4 1 N35 1049 NW 8 7448 P 11/16-12 19 0 33 52 W 12 1 781 NW 8 5620 P 11/16-13 19 0 31 56 W 10 1 513 W 9 3791 P 11/16-14 19 0 27 62 W 10 10 4 1 N28 244 W 9 1963 P 11/16-15 19 0 24 70 W 9 1 318 W 8 2117 P 11/16-16 19 0 21 77 W 8 1 391 NW 7 2271 P 11/16-17 20 0 33 45 NW 6 6 4 1 N22 465 NW 6 2425 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...TIM EGAN REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091114.SUGAR.01/BOU