FNUS75 KBOU 151547 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGARLOAF F1...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 458 AM MST SUN NOV 15 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MAKES ITS WAY TOWARDS THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE. AS A RESULT...A WINTER STORM WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON TODAY. STORM TOTALS BY MIDDAY WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DECREASE THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...WITH JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW CARRYING OVER INTO THIS EVENING. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING AND DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS TO THE AREA FOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW UNTIL 1400...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1700...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...MAINLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....28-30. MIN HUMIDITY........66-69%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2300. MIN TEMPERATURE.....12-14. MAX HUMIDITY........97-100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 13-19 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1200-2200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-35. MIN HUMIDITY........35-39%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 13-19 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SUGARLOAF F1. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/15-04 100 100 16 89 NE 9 1 1109 NE 13 12059 P 11/15-05 100 100 16 92 NE 13 13 2 1 SW10 1125 NE 15 14298 P 11/15-06 100 100 16 95 NE 13 1 1901 NE 14 23336 P 11/15-07 100 100 16 95 NE 12 1 2678 E 14 32373 P 11/15-08 100 100 19 87 NE 9 9 2 1 SE 3 3454 E 14 41410 F 11/15-09 100 100 22 78 NE 9 1 4148 NE 12 39205 P 11/15-10 100 100 25 70 NE 8 1 4842 NE 9 36999 P 11/15-11 100 100 26 68 NE 8 8 2 1 N 3 5536 NE 7 34794 P 11/15-12 100 100 27 67 E 7 1 5634 N 8 39818 P 11/15-13 100 100 28 68 E 6 1 5732 N 9 44842 F 11/15-14 100 40 28 69 E 5 5 2 1 NW10 5830 NW 10 49865 F 11/15-15 100 40 28 72 E 5 1 5565 NW 10 48551 F 11/15-16 100 40 27 77 SE 5 1 5300 NW 10 47237 F 11/15-17 79 20 25 85 SE 5 5 2 1 NW12 5035 NW 10 45923 F 11/15-18 79 20 23 93 S 5 1 4395 NW 10 39842 P 11/15-19 79 20 21 97 SW 5 1 3756 NW 10 33761 P 11/15-20 79 20 21 95 W 5 5 2 1 N 7 3116 NW 10 27680 P 11/15-21 63 20 20 100 W 6 1 2648 NW 10 23653 P 11/15-22 63 20 19 100 W 7 1 2180 NW 10 19627 P 11/15-23 63 0 19 100 W 9 9 2 1 N14 1713 NW 10 15600 P 11/16-00 33 0 18 100 W 12 1 1539 NW 12 14609 P 11/16-01 33 0 18 100 W 14 1 1366 W 12 13618 P 11/16-02 33 0 18 96 W 15 24 2 1 N38 1192 W 13 12628 P 11/16-03 33 0 17 97 W 16 1 1102 W 13 11622 P 11/16-04 33 0 17 99 W 16 1 1011 W 12 10617 P 11/16-05 22 0 17 58 W 16 25 4 1 N54 920 W 12 9611 P 11/16-06 22 0 17 62 W 16 1 849 W 14 10533 P 11/16-07 22 0 18 62 W 16 1 845 W 14 10128 P 11/16-08 22 0 21 57 W 16 25 4 1 N43 841 W 14 9722 P 11/16-09 22 0 25 50 W 15 1 1259 W 13 12905 P 11/16-10 22 0 29 43 W 14 1 1677 NW 12 16088 P 11/16-11 22 0 31 41 W 12 12 4 1 N46 2096 NW 10 19270 P 11/16-12 22 0 32 39 W 9 1 2148 NW 10 19662 P 11/16-13 22 0 33 38 W 8 1 2201 NW 10 20053 P 11/16-14 22 0 33 37 W 7 7 4 1 N44 2254 NW 10 20445 P 11/16-15 22 0 33 37 W 9 1 1736 NW 10 15945 P 11/16-16 22 0 31 39 W 12 1 1218 W 12 11445 P 11/16-17 20 0 27 44 W 14 22 4 1 N41 701 W 12 6945 P 11/16-18 20 0 24 50 W 14 1 533 W 12 5357 P 11/16-19 20 0 21 54 W 14 1 366 W 13 3770 P 11/16-20 20 0 20 54 W 14 22 4 1 N39 199 W 13 2182 P 11/16-21 20 0 19 55 W 13 1 187 W 13 2008 P 11/16-22 20 0 18 56 W 13 1 174 W 12 1833 P 11/16-23 20 0 17 56 W 12 12 4 1 N37 162 W 12 1658 P 11/17-00 20 0 16 56 W 14 1 150 W 13 1668 P 11/17-01 20 0 16 58 W 15 1 137 W 14 1679 P 11/17-02 20 0 15 59 W 16 25 4 1 N33 125 W 15 1690 P 11/17-03 20 0 15 60 W 16 1 119 W 15 1603 P 11/17-04 20 0 14 62 W 16 1 113 W 15 1516 P 11/17-05 20 0 13 66 W 16 25 4 1 N31 107 W 15 1429 P 11/17-06 20 0 13 69 W 16 1 119 W 14 1457 P 11/17-07 20 0 15 66 W 15 1 132 W 13 1484 P 11/17-08 20 0 21 54 W 14 22 4 1 N29 144 W 12 1511 P 11/17-09 20 0 28 43 W 12 1 514 W 10 3777 P 11/17-10 20 0 35 34 W 9 1 884 W 9 6042 P 11/17-11 20 0 38 31 W 7 7 4 1 N26 1254 W 8 8307 P 11/17-12 20 0 41 30 W 6 1 1621 W 8 10837 P 11/17-13 20 0 42 30 W 6 1 1988 NW 8 13367 P 11/17-14 20 0 43 30 W 6 6 4 1 N25 2354 NW 8 15897 P 11/17-15 20 0 42 32 W 7 1 1965 W 8 14006 P 11/17-16 20 0 41 36 W 9 1 1575 W 9 12115 P 11/17-17 20 0 38 40 W 12 12 4 1 N24 1186 W 10 10225 P 11/17-18 20 0 35 46 W 13 1 953 W 10 8564 P 11/17-19 20 0 33 51 W 14 1 721 W 12 6904 P 11/17-20 20 0 32 53 W 14 22 4 1 N22 488 W 13 5243 P 11/17-21 20 0 31 55 W 15 1 489 W 13 5429 P 11/17-22 20 0 30 56 W 15 1 490 W 13 5614 P 11/17-23 20 0 29 57 W 15 24 4 1 N20 491 W 14 5800 P 11/18-00 20 0 29 58 W 15 1 446 W 13 5137 P 11/18-01 20 0 28 59 W 14 1 401 W 13 4474 P 11/18-02 20 0 27 60 W 13 13 4 1 N17 357 W 13 3812 P 11/18-03 20 0 27 60 W 10 1 338 W 12 3386 P 11/18-04 20 0 26 60 W 9 1 319 W 10 2960 P 11/18-05 30 0 26 62 W 8 8 4 1 NW15 300 W 9 2535 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...TIM EGAN REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091114.SUGAR.01/BOU