FNUS75 KBOU 151605 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGARLOAF F1...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 906 AM MST SUN NOV 15 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MAKES ITS WAY TOWARDS THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE. AS A RESULT...A WINTER STORM WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON TODAY. STORM TOTALS BY MIDDAY WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DECREASE THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...WITH JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW CARRYING OVER INTO THIS EVENING. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING AND DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS TO THE AREA FOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1400...THEN DECREASING SNOW AND CLOUDS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....26-32. MIN HUMIDITY........65-75%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8-16 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTH 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2300. MIN TEMPERATURE.....10-15. MAX HUMIDITY........90-100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 12-18 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 1200-2200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-35. MIN HUMIDITY........35-45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 13-19 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SUGARLOAF F1. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/15-09 100 100 22 71 E 9 1 4320 NE 12 41724 F 11/15-10 100 100 24 64 E 9 1 4905 NE 9 37851 P 11/15-11 100 100 26 62 E 8 8 2 1 NW 3 5489 NE 7 33978 P 11/15-12 100 100 27 61 E 7 1 5618 N 8 39467 P 11/15-13 100 100 27 62 E 5 1 5747 N 9 44957 F 11/15-14 100 40 28 62 E 3 3 2 1 NW10 5876 NW 10 50447 F 11/15-15 100 40 27 65 E 3 1 5615 NW 10 49955 F 11/15-16 100 40 26 69 SE 3 1 5355 NW 10 49463 F 11/15-17 80 20 24 75 SE 3 3 2 1 NW10 5095 NW 12 48971 F 11/15-18 80 20 22 83 S 3 1 4660 NW 12 45046 F 11/15-19 80 20 21 88 SW 3 1 4225 NW 12 41121 F 11/15-20 80 20 20 89 W 5 5 2 1 N 7 3790 NW 12 37196 P 11/15-21 63 20 20 91 W 6 1 3313 NW 12 32269 P 11/15-22 63 20 19 93 W 7 1 2836 NW 12 27343 P 11/15-23 63 0 19 92 W 9 9 2 1 N23 2358 NW 12 22417 P 11/16-00 33 0 19 92 W 12 1 2078 NW 12 20540 P 11/16-01 33 0 18 91 W 14 1 1798 NW 13 18662 P 11/16-02 33 0 18 90 W 15 24 2 1 N47 1517 W 13 16785 P 11/16-03 33 0 18 88 W 15 1 1377 W 13 15226 P 11/16-04 33 0 17 87 W 15 1 1237 NW 13 13667 P 11/16-05 22 0 17 58 W 15 24 4 1 N59 1097 NW 13 12108 P 11/16-06 22 0 17 60 W 16 1 908 W 14 11157 P 11/16-07 22 0 18 59 W 16 1 910 W 14 10870 P 11/16-08 22 0 21 54 W 16 25 4 1 N47 912 W 14 10584 P 11/16-09 22 0 24 48 W 15 1 1339 W 13 13949 P 11/16-10 22 0 28 42 W 13 1 1766 NW 12 17315 P 11/16-11 22 0 29 40 W 12 12 4 1 N51 2193 NW 10 20680 P 11/16-12 22 0 31 38 W 10 1 2240 NW 10 21142 P 11/16-13 22 0 31 37 W 8 1 2286 NW 10 21604 P 11/16-14 22 0 31 36 W 8 8 4 1 N47 2333 NW 10 22065 P 11/16-15 22 0 31 37 W 9 1 1822 NW 12 17439 P 11/16-16 22 0 29 39 W 10 1 1312 NW 12 12813 P 11/16-17 20 0 26 44 W 13 13 5 1 N43 802 W 12 8187 P 11/16-18 20 0 23 50 W 13 1 606 W 12 6240 P 11/16-19 20 0 20 54 W 13 1 410 W 13 4294 P 11/16-20 20 0 19 56 W 14 22 4 1 N41 213 W 13 2348 P 11/16-21 20 0 18 58 W 14 1 198 W 13 2205 P 11/16-22 20 0 18 58 W 14 1 184 W 13 2063 P 11/16-23 20 0 17 59 W 14 22 4 1 N39 169 W 13 1921 P 11/17-00 20 0 16 61 W 15 1 155 W 14 1867 P 11/17-01 20 0 16 62 W 16 1 142 W 15 1813 P 11/17-02 20 0 15 63 W 17 28 4 1 N36 129 W 16 1759 P 11/17-03 20 0 15 65 W 17 1 123 W 15 1652 P 11/17-04 20 0 14 66 W 17 1 116 W 15 1544 P 11/17-05 20 0 14 69 W 16 25 5 1 N32 110 W 15 1436 P 11/17-06 20 0 13 71 W 16 1 129 W 14 1527 P 11/17-07 20 0 15 67 W 14 1 148 W 13 1619 P 11/17-08 20 0 21 54 W 13 13 5 1 N30 168 W 12 1710 P 11/17-09 20 0 28 42 W 10 1 525 W 10 3890 P 11/17-10 20 0 34 33 W 8 1 882 W 9 6070 P 11/17-11 20 0 38 29 W 7 7 5 1 N28 1239 W 8 8250 P 11/17-12 20 0 40 27 W 6 1 1591 W 8 10834 P 11/17-13 20 0 41 27 W 6 1 1943 NW 8 13417 P 11/17-14 20 0 42 27 W 6 6 5 1 N26 2295 NW 8 16001 P 11/17-15 20 0 42 28 W 7 1 1919 NW 9 14063 P 11/17-16 20 0 40 30 W 9 1 1543 W 9 12125 P 11/17-17 20 0 38 34 W 10 10 5 1 N24 1166 W 10 10186 P 11/17-18 20 0 34 40 W 12 1 936 W 10 8479 P 11/17-19 20 0 32 45 W 13 1 706 W 12 6772 P 11/17-20 20 0 31 48 W 13 13 5 1 N23 476 W 13 5065 P 11/17-21 20 0 30 49 W 14 1 474 W 13 5181 P 11/17-22 20 0 29 51 W 14 1 472 W 13 5296 P 11/17-23 20 0 29 52 W 14 22 5 1 N21 471 W 14 5412 P 11/18-00 20 0 28 52 W 14 1 430 W 13 4852 P 11/18-01 20 0 28 53 W 13 1 389 W 13 4292 P 11/18-02 20 0 27 54 W 12 12 5 1 N18 348 W 13 3731 P 11/18-03 20 0 27 54 W 10 1 330 W 12 3335 P 11/18-04 20 0 26 55 W 9 1 312 W 10 2938 P 11/18-05 30 0 25 57 W 8 8 5 1 NW17 294 W 10 2542 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...RENEE CREEK REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091115.SUGAR.03/BOU