FNUS75 KBOU 161121 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR CUB CREEK PARK PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 421 AM MST MON NOV 16 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS. IN ADDITION TO THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM...AN INVERSION WILL SET UP TODAY AND TUESDAY. BECAUSE OF THE LIGHT WINDS AND INVERSION...MIXING WILL BE POOR TODAY AND TUESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42. MIN HUMIDITY........24-29%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 6-14 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN VARIABLE 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....18-23. MAX HUMIDITY........50-60%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52. MIN HUMIDITY........24-29%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-14 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN VARIABLE 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6-14 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR CUB CREEK PARK PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/16-04 9 0 7 96 W 15 1 145 W 14 1670 P 11/16-05 9 0 7 83 W 16 25 4 1 N41 108 W 15 1365 P 11/16-06 9 0 7 81 W 16 1 106 W 14 1236 P 11/16-07 9 0 7 84 W 15 1 104 W 13 1107 P 11/16-08 9 0 12 71 W 13 13 4 1 N58 102 W 12 978 P 11/16-09 9 0 22 50 W 9 1 820 W 10 7448 P 11/16-10 9 0 30 37 W 5 1 1537 NW 10 13919 P 11/16-11 9 0 36 31 CALM 1 4 1 N52 2255 N 10 20389 P 11/16-12 9 0 39 27 CALM 1 2268 N 10 20378 P 11/16-13 9 0 40 26 CALM 1 2280 N 10 20367 P 11/16-14 9 0 39 26 CALM 0 4 1 N38 2292 N 10 20355 P 11/16-15 9 0 37 28 W 2 1 1589 NW 9 13935 P 11/16-16 9 0 33 33 W 5 1 886 W 8 7515 P 11/16-17 3 0 28 40 W 7 7 4 1 N31 183 W 7 1095 P 11/16-18 3 0 26 45 W 9 1 156 W 8 1054 P 11/16-19 3 0 24 50 W 10 1 128 W 9 1013 P 11/16-20 3 0 22 52 W 12 12 4 1 N26 101 W 12 973 P 11/16-21 3 0 21 53 W 13 1 94 W 12 942 P 11/16-22 3 0 21 53 W 14 1 87 W 13 912 P 11/16-23 3 0 20 51 W 14 22 4 1 N22 80 W 13 881 P 11/17-00 3 0 20 50 W 13 1 90 W 13 942 P 11/17-01 3 0 22 45 W 13 1 101 W 12 1003 P 11/17-02 3 0 25 38 W 12 12 3 1 N18 111 W 12 1064 P 11/17-03 3 0 24 40 W 13 1 103 W 12 1018 P 11/17-04 3 0 22 43 W 14 1 94 W 12 972 P 11/17-05 3 0 22 43 W 14 22 3 1 N16 86 W 13 926 P 11/17-06 3 0 22 49 W 13 1 157 W 12 1577 P 11/17-07 3 0 22 55 W 12 1 174 W 12 1640 P 11/17-08 3 0 26 52 W 10 10 4 1 N10 191 W 10 1703 P 11/17-09 3 0 34 40 W 9 1 820 W 8 3991 P 11/17-10 3 0 42 31 W 7 1 1449 W 7 6279 P 11/17-11 3 0 45 29 W 6 6 4 1 N 8 2078 W 5 8567 P 11/17-12 3 0 47 27 W 5 1 2419 W 5 10627 P 11/17-13 3 0 48 26 W 5 1 2760 W 6 12687 P 11/17-14 3 0 49 26 W 5 5 4 1 N 8 3101 W 6 14747 P 11/17-15 3 0 48 26 W 7 1 2445 W 7 13087 P 11/17-16 3 0 46 28 W 9 1 1789 W 8 11426 P 11/17-17 20 0 42 31 W 12 12 4 1 N 8 1133 W 10 9766 P 11/17-18 20 0 38 36 W 13 1 858 W 10 7520 P 11/17-19 20 0 35 39 W 13 1 583 W 10 5275 P 11/17-20 20 0 34 39 W 14 22 4 1 N 7 308 W 12 3029 P 11/17-21 20 0 33 40 W 14 1 287 W 12 2897 P 11/17-22 20 0 32 41 W 14 1 266 W 12 2765 P 11/17-23 20 0 31 41 W 14 22 4 1 N 5 245 W 13 2633 P 11/18-00 20 0 30 41 W 14 1 226 W 13 2486 P 11/18-01 20 0 29 42 W 14 1 207 W 13 2338 P 11/18-02 20 0 29 43 W 15 24 4 1 NW 6 187 W 14 2191 P 11/18-03 20 0 28 43 W 15 1 178 W 14 2084 P 11/18-04 20 0 27 45 W 15 1 168 W 14 1978 P 11/18-05 20 0 27 47 W 14 22 4 1 W 7 158 W 14 1871 P 11/18-06 20 0 26 50 W 14 1 183 W 13 2069 P 11/18-07 20 0 27 50 W 13 1 208 W 13 2268 P 11/18-08 20 0 32 44 W 13 13 4 1 W 8 232 W 13 2466 P 11/18-09 20 0 38 37 W 12 1 934 W 12 8481 P 11/18-10 20 0 44 31 W 10 1 1635 W 10 14496 P 11/18-11 20 0 47 29 W 9 9 4 1 W10 2336 W 10 20511 P 11/18-12 20 0 49 27 W 9 1 3025 W 10 28011 P 11/18-13 20 0 50 26 W 10 1 3714 W 10 35511 P 11/18-14 20 0 51 25 W 12 12 4 1 W14 4403 W 12 43011 F 11/18-15 20 0 50 25 W 13 1 3666 W 12 37391 P 11/18-16 20 0 48 27 W 15 1 2929 W 13 31770 P 11/18-17 31 0 44 31 W 16 25 4 1 W17 2192 W 14 26150 P 11/18-18 31 0 40 37 W 16 1 1812 W 14 21542 P 11/18-19 31 0 37 42 W 16 1 1432 W 14 16935 P 11/18-20 31 0 36 45 W 14 22 4 1 W18 1052 W 14 12328 P 11/18-21 31 0 35 49 W 13 1 1025 W 13 11413 P 11/18-22 31 0 34 53 W 10 1 998 W 12 10498 P 11/18-23 31 0 33 57 W 8 8 3 1 W21 971 W 12 9584 P 11/19-00 31 0 32 57 W 8 1 934 W 12 9099 P 11/19-01 31 0 32 58 W 8 1 897 W 12 8614 P 11/19-02 31 0 31 59 W 8 8 3 1 W25 861 W 10 8129 P 11/19-03 31 0 30 60 W 8 1 835 W 10 7773 P 11/19-04 31 0 30 61 W 8 1 809 W 10 7418 P 11/19-05 50 0 29 63 W 9 9 2 1 W31 783 W 10 7062 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...KIRK WILL REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091116.CUBCR.02/BOU