FNUS75 KBOU 161100 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR MUD LAKE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 400 AM MST MON NOV 16 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS. IN ADDITION TO THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM...AN INVERSION WILL SET UP TODAY AND TUESDAY. BECAUSE OF THE LIGHT WINDS AND INVERSION...MIXING WILL BE POOR TODAY AND TUESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39. MIN HUMIDITY........29-35%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5-12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....15-20. MAX HUMIDITY........62-72%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 6-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47. MIN HUMIDITY........25-32%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 6-14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MUD LAKE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/16-03 9 0 12 84 W 13 1 875 NW 15 10825 P 11/16-04 9 0 10 78 W 15 1 655 W 15 8281 P 11/16-05 9 0 11 67 W 16 25 4 1 N60 436 W 15 5737 P 11/16-06 9 0 10 67 W 17 1 350 W 15 4601 P 11/16-07 9 0 9 70 W 17 1 264 W 15 3465 P 11/16-08 9 0 11 71 W 16 25 4 1 N61 178 W 15 2328 P 11/16-09 9 0 18 56 W 15 1 609 W 13 5452 P 11/16-10 9 0 27 41 W 13 1 1040 NW 12 8577 P 11/16-11 9 0 32 36 W 12 12 4 1 N45 1471 NW 9 11701 P 11/16-12 9 0 34 34 W 10 1 1538 NW 9 12886 P 11/16-13 9 0 36 32 W 9 1 1605 NW 10 14071 P 11/16-14 9 0 35 34 W 9 9 4 1 N33 1673 NW 10 15256 P 11/16-15 9 0 34 34 W 10 1 1251 NW 12 11617 P 11/16-16 9 0 32 38 W 13 1 829 W 12 7979 P 11/16-17 3 0 27 45 W 14 22 4 1 N29 407 W 13 4341 P 11/16-18 3 0 22 52 W 15 1 320 W 13 3517 P 11/16-19 3 0 19 57 W 15 1 234 W 14 2692 P 11/16-20 3 0 20 53 W 15 24 4 1 N26 147 W 15 1868 P 11/16-21 3 0 20 52 W 15 1 136 W 15 1736 P 11/16-22 3 0 19 51 W 15 1 124 W 15 1604 P 11/16-23 3 0 18 53 W 15 24 3 1 N21 113 W 15 1473 P 11/17-00 3 0 17 53 W 15 1 123 W 15 1544 P 11/17-01 3 0 19 49 W 14 1 133 W 14 1614 P 11/17-02 3 0 21 44 W 14 22 3 1 N17 143 W 14 1685 P 11/17-03 3 0 20 44 W 15 1 135 W 14 1651 P 11/17-04 3 0 18 48 W 15 1 127 W 15 1617 P 11/17-05 3 0 19 47 W 16 25 3 1 N15 119 W 15 1583 P 11/17-06 3 0 18 53 W 16 1 147 W 15 1886 P 11/17-07 3 0 17 60 W 16 1 160 W 15 2005 P 11/17-08 3 0 18 62 W 15 24 4 1 N10 173 W 14 2124 P 11/17-09 3 0 26 48 W 13 1 544 W 13 4708 P 11/17-10 3 0 35 34 W 12 1 915 W 10 7291 P 11/17-11 3 0 39 30 W 10 10 3 1 N 8 1286 W 9 9875 P 11/17-12 3 0 41 29 W 9 1 1472 W 9 11479 P 11/17-13 3 0 42 29 W 9 1 1658 W 9 13082 P 11/17-14 3 0 43 28 W 10 10 3 1 N 8 1844 W 9 14686 P 11/17-15 3 0 43 29 W 12 1 1521 W 10 12919 P 11/17-16 3 0 41 31 W 14 1 1198 W 12 11152 P 11/17-17 20 0 38 35 W 15 24 4 1 N 8 875 W 13 9385 P 11/17-18 20 0 34 40 W 15 1 678 W 13 7438 P 11/17-19 20 0 32 42 W 15 1 482 W 14 5492 P 11/17-20 20 0 31 42 W 15 24 4 1 N 6 285 W 14 3545 P 11/17-21 20 0 29 42 W 15 1 269 W 14 3331 P 11/17-22 20 0 29 42 W 15 1 253 W 14 3116 P 11/17-23 20 0 28 42 W 15 24 4 1 N 3 236 W 14 2902 P 11/18-00 20 0 27 42 W 15 1 224 W 15 2891 P 11/18-01 20 0 27 43 W 16 1 212 W 16 2880 P 11/18-02 20 0 26 44 W 17 28 4 1 NW 6 199 W 16 2869 P 11/18-03 20 0 25 45 W 17 1 193 W 16 2772 P 11/18-04 20 0 25 47 W 17 1 186 W 16 2674 P 11/18-05 20 0 24 49 W 17 28 4 1 W 7 179 W 16 2577 P 11/18-06 20 0 24 51 W 16 1 202 W 16 2753 P 11/18-07 20 0 25 50 W 16 1 225 W 15 2930 P 11/18-08 20 0 29 44 W 15 24 4 1 W 9 248 W 15 3106 P 11/18-09 20 0 34 37 W 15 1 698 W 14 8518 P 11/18-10 20 0 39 31 W 15 1 1148 W 14 13930 P 11/18-11 20 0 42 28 W 15 24 4 1 SW10 1597 W 14 19342 P 11/18-12 20 0 44 27 W 16 1 2033 W 14 25224 P 11/18-13 20 0 45 26 W 16 1 2469 W 15 31105 P 11/18-14 20 0 45 25 W 17 28 4 1 W14 2905 W 15 36986 P 11/18-15 20 0 45 26 W 17 1 2502 W 15 32453 P 11/18-16 20 0 43 28 W 17 1 2099 W 15 27920 P 11/18-17 30 0 40 32 W 17 28 4 1 W18 1695 W 16 23387 P 11/18-18 30 0 36 38 W 16 1 1457 W 16 19883 P 11/18-19 30 0 34 43 W 16 1 1219 W 15 16378 P 11/18-20 30 0 33 47 W 14 22 3 1 W20 980 W 15 12874 P 11/18-21 30 0 32 52 W 13 1 966 W 15 12315 P 11/18-22 30 0 31 57 W 12 1 952 W 14 11757 P 11/18-23 30 0 30 62 W 9 9 3 1 W21 938 W 14 11199 P 11/19-00 30 0 30 63 W 9 1 907 W 14 10807 P 11/19-01 30 0 29 65 W 10 1 876 W 14 10416 P 11/19-02 30 0 28 67 W 10 10 3 1 W25 845 W 14 10025 P 11/19-03 30 0 28 68 W 10 1 825 W 14 9752 P 11/19-04 30 0 27 69 W 10 1 804 W 14 9479 P 11/19-05 50 0 27 71 W 10 10 2 1 W31 784 W 14 9206 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...BOULDER COUNTY SHERIFF S OFFICE REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091116.MUDLA.01/BOU