FNUS76 KEKA 160056
FWSEKA

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR...US FOREST SERVICE SHASTA TRINITY NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
456 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PST ON NOVEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN EUREKA AT (707) 443-6484.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST OVER THE BURN AREA THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON. THE HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST LATE MONDAY ALLOWING
WINDS TO SHIFT TO THE SOUTH AND BECOME GUSTY...ESPECIALLY OVER
THE SURROUNDING RIDGES. THIS STORM WILL BRING DECENT RAINFALL TO THE
BURN AREA OVERNIGHT MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. A COOL AND RAINY PATTERN
WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 TO 41 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4600 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 11 MPH.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 TO 89 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MIN HUMIDITY........76 TO 80 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST. GUSTS TO 11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-5200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CAFFREY
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS PRINDIVILLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091116.BEAR_.01/EKA