FNUS75 KGJT 161623
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BELLY ACHE PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
923 AM MST MON NOV 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON NOVEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE MOVING OVER COLORADO TODAY. VERTICAL
MIXING WILL BE POOR AS THE AIR MASS IS VERY STABLE. ALONG MOUNTAIN
TOPS AND NEAR EXPOSED RIDGES WILL BE FROM THE NORTH. THESE
NORTHERLY WINDS DECREASE AS HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS INTO COLORADO.

.TODAY...
20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE 1-3 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 1-3 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

20-FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING UPSLOPE 1-3 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 1-4 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...PAUL FRISBIE
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN CONRAD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091116.BELLY.01/GJT