FNUS72 KMHX 161157
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MILLIS ROAD...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
657 AM EST MON NOV 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0710 EST ON NOVEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DRY AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL LINGER OVER THE REGION TODAY PROVIDING
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE LOWER 70S AS A
RESULT. A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL INCREASE WINDS TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY WEDNESDAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5
                    TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2900-3500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (EST)          7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............0      0      24     23     20     23
WEATHER COV.........AREAS
WEATHER TYPE........FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................50     57     66     71     71     66
RH..................99     85     64     54     52     63
20 FT WIND (MPH)....N 1    N 3    N 6    N 7    N 7    NE 7
HAINES INDEX........5      5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500-900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............29     26     9      16     21     25
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................63     58     54     53     51     50
RH..................70     86     100    100    100    100
20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 6   NE 6   NE 6   NE 6   NE 6   N 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....
HAINES INDEX........5      5      5      5      4      4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800-3200 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 17 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............33     35     34     33     43     55
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................49     50     58     62     65     64
RH..................100    100    80     67     60     65
20 FT WIND (MPH)....N 8    N 9    NE 10  NE 12  NE 12  NE 10
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     15     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX........4      5      5      5      4      3

$$
FORECASTER...JAMISON
REQUESTED BY...CROATAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091116.MILLI.01/MHX