FNUS75 KBOU 162241 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR EVERGREEN 6B...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 332 PM MST MON NOV 16 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS WILL OVER THE BURN AREA FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILDS ACROSS COLORADO. THIS WILL RESULT IN POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL FOR ALL OF TUESDAY. THERE WILL BE SOME SLOW IMPROVEMENT ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH INCREASING MIXING HEIGHTS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....17. MAX HUMIDITY........52%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 11-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....49. MIN HUMIDITY........22%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....22. MAX HUMIDITY........44%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 12-19 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....50. MIN HUMIDITY........22%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 13-19 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0600. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR EVERGREEN 6B. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/16-15 9 0 36 26 W 5 1 1466 NW 8 10765 P 11/16-16 9 0 32 32 W 7 1 899 NW 8 6542 P 11/16-17 3 0 32 33 W 9 9 5 1 N30 331 W 8 2319 P 11/16-18 3 0 28 38 W 12 1 264 W 9 1969 P 11/16-19 3 0 26 41 W 13 1 198 W 10 1620 P 11/16-20 3 0 25 43 W 14 22 5 1 N23 131 W 12 1270 P 11/16-21 3 0 24 44 W 14 1 121 W 10 1148 P 11/16-22 3 0 23 44 W 14 1 110 W 10 1025 P 11/16-23 3 0 22 43 W 13 13 5 1 N18 100 W 10 903 P 11/17-00 3 0 22 43 W 13 1 95 W 10 867 P 11/17-01 3 0 21 43 W 13 1 90 W 10 832 P 11/17-02 3 0 20 44 W 13 13 4 1 N17 86 W 10 797 P 11/17-03 3 0 20 43 W 13 1 85 W 10 762 P 11/17-04 3 0 19 43 W 12 1 83 W 10 727 P 11/17-05 3 0 19 46 W 12 12 4 1 N14 82 W 9 692 P 11/17-06 3 0 18 51 W 10 1 91 W 9 688 P 11/17-07 3 0 20 52 W 10 1 100 W 8 684 P 11/17-08 3 0 26 45 W 9 9 3 1 N13 108 W 7 680 P 11/17-09 3 0 33 35 W 8 1 500 W 6 1660 P 11/17-10 3 0 40 27 W 7 1 893 W 5 2640 P 11/17-11 3 0 44 25 W 6 6 4 1 N12 1285 W 3 3620 P 11/17-12 3 0 46 23 W 5 1 1855 W 3 6819 P 11/17-13 3 0 47 23 W 5 1 2426 W 5 10019 P 11/17-14 3 0 48 22 W 6 6 4 1 N10 2997 W 5 13219 P 11/17-15 3 0 47 23 W 7 1 2131 W 6 9818 P 11/17-16 3 0 45 25 W 9 1 1266 W 7 6417 P 11/17-17 6 0 40 28 W 12 12 4 1 N10 400 NW 9 3016 P 11/17-18 6 0 36 34 W 13 1 237 W 10 1997 P 11/17-19 6 0 33 37 W 14 1 178 W 10 1569 P 11/17-20 6 0 31 40 W 14 23 3 1 NE 7 118 W 12 1141 P 11/17-21 6 0 29 41 W 14 1 111 W 12 1088 P 11/17-22 6 0 28 42 W 13 1 104 W 12 1034 P 11/17-23 6 0 28 42 W 13 22 3 1 N 5 97 W 12 980 P 11/18-00 6 0 27 42 W 14 1 96 W 12 1002 P 11/18-01 6 0 27 42 W 15 1 94 W 13 1024 P 11/18-02 6 0 27 42 W 16 28 5 1 NW 5 92 W 13 1045 P 11/18-03 6 0 27 43 W 16 1 91 W 13 1019 P 11/18-04 6 0 26 44 W 15 1 90 W 13 993 P 11/18-05 20 0 26 44 W 15 25 5 1 NW 8 89 W 13 967 P 11/18-06 20 0 27 44 W 14 1 95 W 13 998 P 11/18-07 20 0 28 44 W 13 1 102 W 12 1029 P 11/18-08 20 0 30 42 W 13 22 5 1 NW 7 108 W 12 1061 P 11/18-09 20 0 35 36 W 10 1 443 W 9 2649 P 11/18-10 20 0 41 30 W 9 1 778 W 8 4237 P 11/18-11 20 0 45 26 W 9 9 5 1 W 7 1113 W 6 5825 P 11/18-12 20 0 48 24 W 10 1 1965 W 8 15679 P 11/18-13 20 0 49 22 W 12 1 2817 W 9 25533 P 11/18-14 20 0 49 22 W 13 22 4 1 W13 3669 W 12 35386 P 11/18-15 20 0 48 23 W 15 1 2743 W 13 27734 P 11/18-16 20 0 45 26 W 16 1 1817 W 15 20082 P 11/18-17 45 0 41 30 W 15 25 4 1 SW16 892 W 16 12430 P 11/18-18 45 0 37 36 W 16 1 653 W 16 9187 P 11/18-19 45 0 34 42 W 17 1 414 W 17 5944 P 11/18-20 45 0 32 49 W 18 31 4 1 W13 175 W 17 2701 P 11/18-21 45 0 31 54 W 18 1 171 W 17 2623 P 11/18-22 45 0 30 58 W 18 1 166 W 17 2546 P 11/18-23 45 0 30 63 W 18 31 4 1 W15 162 W 17 2468 P 11/19-00 45 0 30 62 W 17 1 181 W 17 2732 P 11/19-01 45 0 30 61 W 16 1 199 W 17 2997 P 11/19-02 45 0 29 60 W 15 25 4 1 SW14 218 W 17 3261 P 11/19-03 45 0 29 60 W 15 1 273 W 17 4170 P 11/19-04 45 0 29 60 W 14 1 327 W 17 5079 P 11/19-05 50 0 29 60 W 14 23 3 1 SW12 382 W 18 5988 P 11/19-06 50 0 29 60 W 14 1 536 W 18 9065 P 11/19-07 50 0 30 59 W 14 1 689 NW 20 12142 P 11/19-08 50 0 31 57 W 14 23 3 1 SW 7 843 NW 21 15218 P 11/19-09 50 0 33 51 W 13 1 2197 NW 18 28833 P 11/19-10 50 0 37 45 NW 13 1 3551 NW 16 42448 F 11/19-11 50 0 39 41 NW 12 20 3 1 SW10 4905 NW 13 56062 F 11/19-12 50 0 41 39 NW 12 1 5086 NW 15 65023 G 11/19-13 50 0 41 38 NW 12 1 5267 NW 16 73983 G 11/19-14 50 0 41 38 NW 12 20 2 1 W16 5448 NW 17 82943 G 11/19-15 50 0 40 41 NW 12 1 4868 NW 20 80032 G 11/19-16 50 0 38 47 NW 10 1 4289 NW 21 77120 G 11/19-17 30 0 35 50 W 9 9 2 1 NW36 3709 NW 23 74209 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...BILL ALAKAI REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091117.EVERG.01/BOU