FNUS75 KBOU 162231 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR FRISCO WUI...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 326 PM MST MON NOV 16 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS WILL OVER THE BURN AREA FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILDS ACROSS COLORADO. THIS WILL RESULT IN POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL FOR ALL OF TUESDAY. THERE WILL BE SOME SLOW IMPROVEMENT ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON IN REGARDS TO THE SMOKE DISPERSAL. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....11. MAX HUMIDITY........61%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 4-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-41. MIN HUMIDITY........26%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 4 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST 5-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH UP TO 4 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....16. MAX HUMIDITY........39%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 7-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....46. MIN HUMIDITY........20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 6-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 3000-4000 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 1400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600... THEN CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR FRISCO WUI. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/16-15 9 0 40 17 NW 6 1 3390 NW 13 41110 F 11/16-16 9 0 34 22 W 5 1 2550 NW 12 27347 P 11/16-17 3 0 31 26 W 3 3 4 1 N25 1710 NW 9 13584 P 11/16-18 3 0 26 35 W 3 1 1303 NW 7 9524 P 11/16-19 3 0 23 44 S 3 1 896 W 6 5463 P 11/16-20 3 0 21 49 S 3 3 3 1 N21 489 W 3 1403 P 11/16-21 3 0 20 51 S 3 1 388 W 3 1062 P 11/16-22 3 0 19 50 S 3 1 286 SW 2 721 P 11/16-23 3 0 18 49 S 3 3 3 1 N16 185 SW 2 380 P 11/17-00 3 0 17 50 S 3 1 163 SW 2 352 P 11/17-01 3 0 16 52 S 3 1 142 SW 2 323 P 11/17-02 3 0 15 54 S 3 3 3 1 N15 121 SW 2 294 P 11/17-03 3 0 14 56 S 3 1 118 SW 2 256 P 11/17-04 3 0 14 57 S 2 1 115 SW 2 219 P 11/17-05 3 0 13 60 S 2 2 3 1 N 9 112 SW 2 181 P 11/17-06 3 0 12 61 S 2 1 121 CALM 162 P 11/17-07 3 0 13 58 S 2 1 130 CALM 143 P 11/17-08 3 0 18 48 S 2 2 3 1 N 9 139 CALM 124 P 11/17-09 3 0 24 40 S 2 1 350 CALM 469 P 11/17-10 3 0 30 32 CALM 1 562 CALM 814 P 11/17-11 3 0 33 30 CALM 1 3 1 N 9 773 CALM 1159 P 11/17-12 3 0 35 28 CALM 1 1017 SW 2 2393 P 11/17-13 3 0 36 27 CALM 1 1261 W 3 3628 P 11/17-14 3 0 37 26 W 2 2 3 1 N 9 1504 W 3 4862 P 11/17-15 3 0 36 27 W 3 1 1173 W 5 3982 P 11/17-16 3 0 34 28 W 3 1 841 W 5 3102 P 11/17-17 6 0 31 31 W 5 5 3 1 NE 8 510 W 5 2222 P 11/17-18 6 0 28 35 W 5 1 357 W 5 1502 P 11/17-19 6 0 26 37 SW 5 1 274 W 5 1067 P 11/17-20 6 0 24 38 SW 3 3 4 1 NE 5 191 W 3 632 P 11/17-21 6 0 24 37 SW 3 1 188 W 3 635 P 11/17-22 6 0 24 35 SW 3 1 186 W 3 638 P 11/17-23 6 0 24 34 SW 5 5 4 1 CALM 184 W 3 641 P 11/18-00 6 0 24 33 SW 5 1 177 W 5 679 P 11/18-01 6 0 24 32 SW 5 1 170 W 5 717 P 11/18-02 6 0 24 31 SW 5 5 4 1 W 2 163 W 6 755 P 11/18-03 6 0 23 32 SW 6 1 154 W 6 742 P 11/18-04 6 0 22 33 SW 6 1 146 SW 6 729 P 11/18-05 20 0 22 34 SW 6 6 4 1 W 5 137 SW 6 716 P 11/18-06 20 0 22 36 SW 5 1 144 SW 5 633 P 11/18-07 20 0 22 38 SW 3 1 151 W 5 549 P 11/18-08 20 0 23 39 SW 2 2 4 1 W 5 157 W 3 466 P 11/18-09 20 0 27 37 SW 2 1 572 W 5 3701 P 11/18-10 20 0 31 32 W 3 1 987 W 7 6937 P 11/18-11 20 0 36 28 W 5 5 4 1 SW 8 1401 W 8 10172 P 11/18-12 20 0 40 24 W 6 1 2427 W 10 26068 P 11/18-13 20 0 43 21 W 7 1 3452 W 13 41964 F 11/18-14 20 0 44 20 W 7 7 4 1 SW15 4478 W 15 57860 F 11/18-15 20 0 42 21 W 7 1 3435 W 14 43567 F 11/18-16 20 0 37 24 W 6 1 2392 W 14 29274 P 11/18-17 68 0 32 30 W 5 5 4 1 SW16 1349 W 13 14982 P 11/18-18 68 0 30 33 W 5 1 1016 W 10 10720 P 11/18-19 68 0 28 39 SW 5 1 683 W 9 6458 P 11/18-20 68 0 26 45 SW 5 5 3 1 W17 351 W 7 2196 P 11/18-21 68 0 25 50 SW 5 1 448 W 8 3497 P 11/18-22 68 0 26 54 SW 5 1 545 W 9 4798 P 11/18-23 68 10 26 58 SW 5 5 2 1 SW20 641 W 12 6099 P 11/19-00 68 10 26 58 SW 5 1 803 W 12 8097 P 11/19-01 68 10 25 59 W 5 1 964 W 12 10096 P 11/19-02 68 10 25 59 W 5 5 2 1 SW20 1126 W 13 12095 P 11/19-03 68 10 24 61 W 3 1 1220 W 12 12454 P 11/19-04 68 10 23 63 W 3 1 1314 W 12 12814 P 11/19-05 70 19 23 64 W 3 3 2 1 W12 1408 W 10 13173 P 11/19-06 70 19 23 64 W 2 1 1913 NW 12 21187 P 11/19-07 70 19 23 63 W 2 1 2417 NW 14 29201 P 11/19-08 70 19 24 59 W 3 3 2 1 CALM 2922 NW 15 37215 P 11/19-09 70 19 26 53 W 5 1 3685 NW 15 49357 F 11/19-10 70 19 30 45 W 7 1 4449 NW 16 61499 G 11/19-11 70 19 33 40 NW 9 9 2 1 SW 9 5212 NW 16 73640 G 11/19-12 70 19 35 36 NW 10 1 5550 NW 17 85510 G 11/19-13 70 19 37 33 NW 10 1 5888 W 18 97381 G 11/19-14 70 19 37 33 NW 10 17 2 1 NW30 6226 W 21 109251 V 11/19-15 70 19 36 36 NW 9 1 5569 NW 21 100442 V 11/19-16 70 19 33 41 W 7 1 4913 NW 22 91633 G 11/19-17 37 0 30 46 W 6 6 4 1 NW58 4256 NW 22 82823 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...TODD KING REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091117.FRISC.01/BOU