FNUS75 KBOU 162339 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR GREEN RIDGE PILE BURN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 438 PM MST MON NOV 16 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS WILL OVER THE BURN AREA FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILDS ACROSS COLORADO. THIS WILL RESULT IN POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL FOR ALL OF TUESDAY. THERE WILL BE SOME SLOW IMPROVEMENT ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH INCREASING MIXING HEIGHTS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....5-9. MAX HUMIDITY........68-73%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-41. MIN HUMIDITY........30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....11-15. MAX HUMIDITY........88-93%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-39. MIN HUMIDITY........35%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GREEN RIDGE PILE BURN. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/16-16 9 0 27 31 SW 5 1 1042 SW 6 5289 P 11/16-17 3 0 23 37 S 5 5 5 1 N24 727 SW 5 3088 P 11/16-18 3 0 19 42 S 5 1 545 SW 5 2276 P 11/16-19 3 0 17 46 S 6 1 364 S 5 1464 P 11/16-20 3 0 15 47 S 6 6 5 1 N20 182 S 5 653 P 11/16-21 3 0 14 48 S 6 1 161 S 5 569 P 11/16-22 3 0 13 47 S 5 1 139 S 5 484 P 11/16-23 3 0 12 47 S 5 5 4 1 N16 118 S 5 400 P 11/17-00 3 0 12 47 S 5 1 120 S 5 399 P 11/17-01 3 0 11 49 S 5 1 123 S 5 397 P 11/17-02 3 0 10 51 S 5 5 3 1 N12 127 S 3 396 P 11/17-03 3 0 10 51 S 5 1 126 S 3 365 P 11/17-04 3 0 9 51 S 5 1 127 S 3 334 P 11/17-05 3 0 9 55 S 5 5 3 1 N 7 127 S 3 303 P 11/17-06 3 0 8 64 S 5 1 132 S 3 345 P 11/17-07 3 0 10 71 S 5 1 138 S 3 386 P 11/17-08 3 0 16 62 S 5 5 2 1 NW 9 143 S 3 428 P 11/17-09 3 0 23 47 S 5 1 364 S 3 1168 P 11/17-10 3 0 30 36 S 3 1 585 SW 3 1907 P 11/17-11 3 0 33 32 SW 3 3 3 1 N 9 806 SW 3 2647 P 11/17-12 3 0 36 30 SW 3 1 1025 SW 5 3751 P 11/17-13 3 0 37 30 SW 3 1 1244 SW 5 4855 P 11/17-14 3 0 38 30 SW 3 3 3 1 NE 8 1463 SW 5 5958 P 11/17-15 3 0 37 32 SW 3 1 1126 SW 5 4398 P 11/17-16 3 0 35 36 SW 2 1 788 SW 3 2838 P 11/17-17 6 0 33 43 SW 2 2 3 1 NE 7 451 SW 3 1278 P 11/17-18 6 0 30 46 S 3 1 532 SW 3 1597 P 11/17-19 6 0 26 56 S 3 1 333 SW 3 988 P 11/17-20 6 0 22 67 S 5 5 4 1 E 5 134 SW 3 378 P 11/17-21 6 0 20 75 S 5 1 139 SW 3 422 P 11/17-22 6 0 18 82 S 5 1 144 S 3 465 P 11/17-23 6 0 16 87 S 5 5 4 1 SE 2 149 S 5 508 P 11/18-00 6 0 15 90 S 5 1 142 S 5 530 P 11/18-01 6 0 15 90 S 6 1 135 SW 5 551 P 11/18-02 6 0 14 90 S 6 6 5 1 SW 5 128 SW 6 572 P 11/18-03 6 0 14 90 S 7 1 127 SW 6 586 P 11/18-04 6 0 13 90 S 7 1 127 S 6 601 P 11/18-05 20 0 13 88 S 7 7 5 1 SW 7 126 S 6 615 P 11/18-06 20 0 14 86 S 6 1 134 S 6 606 P 11/18-07 20 0 14 83 S 6 1 142 S 5 598 P 11/18-08 20 0 15 78 S 6 6 5 1 SW 7 150 S 5 589 P 11/18-09 20 0 19 66 S 6 1 228 S 5 1010 P 11/18-10 20 0 25 52 S 5 1 305 SW 6 1430 P 11/18-11 20 0 30 43 SW 6 6 5 1 SW 9 383 SW 6 1851 P 11/18-12 20 0 33 37 SW 6 1 876 SW 7 6486 P 11/18-13 20 0 36 35 SW 7 1 1369 SW 9 11121 P 11/18-14 20 0 36 35 SW 7 7 4 1 SW15 1862 SW 10 15757 P 11/18-15 20 0 36 36 SW 7 1 1497 SW 9 12262 P 11/18-16 20 0 34 39 S 7 1 1132 SW 9 8767 P 11/18-17 68 0 32 44 S 6 6 4 1 SW17 767 SW 8 5273 P 11/18-18 68 0 29 48 S 6 1 579 SW 7 3852 P 11/18-19 68 0 26 55 S 6 1 390 SW 7 2430 P 11/18-20 68 0 23 60 S 6 6 4 1 SW18 203 S 6 1008 P 11/18-21 68 0 21 64 S 6 1 190 SW 6 938 P 11/18-22 68 0 20 67 S 6 1 177 SW 6 868 P 11/18-23 68 10 19 67 SW 6 6 3 1 SW22 164 SW 6 798 P 11/19-00 68 10 19 68 SW 6 1 174 SW 6 834 P 11/19-01 68 10 19 67 SW 5 1 183 SW 6 871 P 11/19-02 68 10 19 67 SW 5 5 2 1 SW18 193 W 6 908 P 11/19-03 68 10 19 67 SW 5 1 221 W 6 1086 P 11/19-04 68 10 19 67 SW 5 1 249 W 6 1263 P 11/19-05 70 13 19 68 SW 5 5 3 1 SW12 278 W 6 1441 P 11/19-06 70 13 19 70 SW 3 1 415 W 7 2675 P 11/19-07 70 13 19 73 SW 3 1 552 W 8 3909 P 11/19-08 70 13 19 74 SW 5 5 2 1 SW 9 690 W 9 5142 P 11/19-09 70 13 21 71 W 6 1 1784 W 12 22364 P 11/19-10 70 13 24 64 W 7 1 2879 W 14 39587 P 11/19-11 70 13 27 58 W 7 7 2 1 SW15 3974 W 16 56810 F 11/19-12 70 13 30 53 W 8 1 4474 W 17 68853 G 11/19-13 70 13 31 49 W 9 1 4974 W 18 80896 G 11/19-14 70 13 32 47 W 9 9 2 1 NW32 5474 W 20 92940 G 11/19-15 70 13 31 48 W 8 1 5039 W 21 87483 G 11/19-16 70 13 30 50 W 7 1 4603 W 21 82026 G 11/19-17 30 0 29 45 W 6 6 4 1 NW56 4168 W 21 76569 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...CASEY CHEESBROUGH REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091117.GREEN.01/BOU