FNUS75 KBOU 162207 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR MORAINE PARK ADMIN SITE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 258 PM MST MON NOV 16 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS WILL OVER THE BURN AREA FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILDS ACROSS COLORADO. THIS WILL RESULT IN POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL FOR ALL OF TUESDAY. THERE WILL BE SOME SLOW IMPROVEMENT ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE SMOKE DISPERSAL. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....16. MAX HUMIDITY........49%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 3-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....46. MIN HUMIDITY........26%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....20. MAX HUMIDITY........55%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....44. MIN HUMIDITY........27%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0600. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MORAINE PARK ADMIN SITE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/16-14 9 0 38 26 W 8 8 4 1 N29 2722 NW 10 25553 P 11/16-15 9 0 37 28 W 9 1 2179 NW 12 20634 P 11/16-16 9 0 33 31 W 10 1 1637 W 12 15715 P 11/16-17 3 0 32 32 W 12 12 4 1 N24 1094 W 12 10796 P 11/16-18 3 0 28 35 W 12 1 810 W 12 7976 P 11/16-19 3 0 25 37 W 12 1 525 W 12 5155 P 11/16-20 3 0 24 36 W 12 12 4 1 N18 241 W 12 2335 P 11/16-21 3 0 23 37 W 12 1 215 W 12 2064 P 11/16-22 3 0 22 38 W 10 1 188 W 12 1793 P 11/16-23 3 0 22 39 W 10 10 3 1 N16 162 W 10 1522 P 11/17-00 3 0 21 39 W 10 1 150 W 10 1406 P 11/17-01 3 0 20 41 W 10 1 139 W 10 1290 P 11/17-02 3 0 20 41 W 10 10 2 1 N16 128 W 10 1175 P 11/17-03 3 0 19 42 W 10 1 120 W 10 1085 P 11/17-04 3 0 19 42 W 10 1 111 W 10 995 P 11/17-05 3 0 18 45 W 10 10 2 1 N12 103 W 10 905 P 11/17-06 3 0 18 47 W 9 1 116 W 9 935 P 11/17-07 3 0 19 49 W 9 1 128 W 9 966 P 11/17-08 3 0 24 44 W 8 8 2 1 N10 140 W 8 996 P 11/17-09 3 0 31 36 W 8 1 640 W 7 2755 P 11/17-10 3 0 37 31 W 7 1 1140 W 6 4515 P 11/17-11 3 0 41 29 W 7 7 3 1 N 8 1639 W 5 6274 P 11/17-12 3 0 43 28 W 7 1 2162 W 6 10989 P 11/17-13 3 0 44 27 W 7 1 2685 W 7 15704 P 11/17-14 3 0 45 26 W 7 7 3 1 N 6 3208 W 7 20419 P 11/17-15 3 0 44 27 W 8 1 2426 W 8 15918 P 11/17-16 3 0 42 28 W 9 1 1644 W 8 11417 P 11/17-17 6 0 39 32 W 10 10 3 1 NE 5 862 W 9 6916 P 11/17-18 6 0 36 34 W 10 1 749 W 9 6047 P 11/17-19 6 0 33 37 W 10 1 475 W 10 3933 P 11/17-20 6 0 31 40 W 10 17 4 1 CALM 201 W 10 1819 P 11/17-21 6 0 29 42 W 10 1 177 W 10 1601 P 11/17-22 6 0 27 44 W 10 1 153 W 10 1383 P 11/17-23 6 0 26 46 W 10 17 4 1 CALM 130 W 10 1166 P 11/18-00 6 0 25 47 W 12 1 125 W 12 1193 P 11/18-01 6 0 24 48 W 12 1 119 W 12 1221 P 11/18-02 6 0 23 50 W 12 20 4 1 W 5 114 W 13 1248 P 11/18-03 6 0 23 51 W 13 1 112 W 13 1212 P 11/18-04 6 0 22 52 W 13 1 110 W 13 1176 P 11/18-05 20 0 22 54 W 12 20 4 1 W 7 108 W 13 1139 P 11/18-06 20 0 22 55 W 12 1 113 W 12 1149 P 11/18-07 20 0 23 55 W 10 1 119 W 12 1159 P 11/18-08 20 0 24 53 W 10 17 4 1 W 6 124 W 10 1170 P 11/18-09 20 0 28 47 W 9 1 474 W 10 4434 P 11/18-10 20 0 34 38 W 9 1 824 W 10 7699 P 11/18-11 20 0 38 33 W 9 9 4 1 SW 7 1174 W 10 10963 P 11/18-12 20 0 41 29 W 9 1 1965 W 13 23596 P 11/18-13 20 0 43 28 W 10 1 2756 W 14 36230 P 11/18-14 20 0 43 27 W 12 20 4 1 SW12 3547 W 16 48863 F 11/18-15 20 0 43 28 W 13 1 2973 W 16 41698 F 11/18-16 20 0 40 31 W 13 1 2400 W 17 34532 P 11/18-17 48 0 38 34 W 12 20 4 1 SW13 1826 W 17 27367 P 11/18-18 48 0 35 39 W 12 1 1351 W 16 19818 P 11/18-19 48 0 32 45 W 12 1 875 W 15 12270 P 11/18-20 48 0 30 51 W 12 20 4 1 W12 400 W 14 4721 P 11/18-21 48 0 29 56 W 12 1 372 W 14 4380 P 11/18-22 48 0 27 61 W 12 1 343 W 14 4039 P 11/18-23 48 0 27 66 W 12 20 3 1 SW14 315 W 14 3698 P 11/19-00 48 0 26 68 W 10 1 349 W 14 4183 P 11/19-01 48 0 26 69 W 10 1 382 W 14 4669 P 11/19-02 48 0 25 69 W 10 17 2 1 SW12 416 W 14 5154 P 11/19-03 48 0 25 69 W 10 1 652 W 16 9682 P 11/19-04 48 0 25 69 W 10 1 888 W 17 14210 P 11/19-05 50 0 25 68 W 10 17 2 1 SW 6 1124 W 20 18738 P 11/19-06 50 0 25 65 W 10 1 1423 W 20 24851 P 11/19-07 50 0 25 63 W 9 1 1723 W 21 30964 P 11/19-08 50 0 26 60 W 9 9 2 1 SW 5 2023 W 21 37077 P 11/19-09 50 0 28 57 W 9 1 3066 W 20 47832 F 11/19-10 50 0 32 52 W 10 1 4110 W 17 58588 F 11/19-11 50 0 35 49 W 10 17 2 1 SW10 5154 W 15 69343 G 11/19-12 50 0 37 45 W 10 1 5312 W 17 82075 G 11/19-13 50 0 38 42 W 9 1 5471 W 20 94806 G 11/19-14 50 0 39 41 W 9 9 2 1 W17 5629 W 22 107537 V 11/19-15 50 0 38 41 W 9 1 5464 W 23 109552 V 11/19-16 50 0 36 43 W 9 1 5299 NW 24 111567 V 11/19-17 30 0 35 45 W 9 9 3 1 N39 5134 NW 25 113582 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...JAMES CHAMP REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091117.MORAI.01/BOU