FNUS75 KBOU 171400 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR MOUNT FALCON SLASH PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 653 AM MST TUE NOV 17 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS WILL BE OVER THE REGION TODAY. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE STATE FROM THE WEST. OVERALL...THE WIND PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY WEAK AND VARIABLE ALOFT WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL FOR BOTH TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-49. MIN HUMIDITY........21-24%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 6-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN WEST 5-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-22. MAX HUMIDITY........55-58%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1700...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-52. MIN HUMIDITY........27-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW AFTER 0600. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MOUNT FALCON SLASH PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/17-06 3 0 22 79 W 12 1 106 W 8 718 P 11/17-07 3 0 24 70 W 10 1 121 W 7 723 P 11/17-08 3 0 29 55 W 8 8 4 1 N15 135 W 6 728 P 11/17-09 3 0 35 40 W 6 1 379 W 5 1206 P 11/17-10 3 0 41 30 W 3 1 623 SW 3 1685 P 11/17-11 3 0 44 26 W 2 2 5 1 N 8 866 SW 2 2163 P 11/17-12 3 0 47 24 CALM 1 1069 SW 3 2725 P 11/17-13 3 0 47 23 CALM 1 1272 SW 3 3287 P 11/17-14 3 0 48 23 CALM 1 5 1 N 6 1475 SW 3 3850 P 11/17-15 3 0 47 24 SW 2 1 1071 SW 3 2833 P 11/17-16 3 0 45 26 W 3 1 666 W 3 1817 P 11/17-17 6 0 41 31 W 6 6 5 1 N 6 262 W 3 800 P 11/17-18 6 0 36 36 W 7 1 216 W 5 811 P 11/17-19 6 0 33 40 W 9 1 170 W 7 823 P 11/17-20 6 0 32 41 W 10 10 5 1 N 5 124 SW 8 834 P 11/17-21 6 0 30 42 W 12 1 113 W 8 799 P 11/17-22 6 0 29 43 W 13 1 103 W 9 764 P 11/17-23 6 0 28 42 W 13 13 5 1 NW 3 92 W 9 729 P 11/18-00 6 0 27 43 W 13 1 87 W 9 700 P 11/18-01 6 0 26 44 W 13 1 83 W 9 670 P 11/18-02 6 0 25 45 W 12 12 5 1 NW 5 78 W 9 641 P 11/18-03 6 0 25 45 W 12 1 77 W 9 616 P 11/18-04 6 0 24 46 W 13 1 76 W 9 591 P 11/18-05 10 0 23 47 W 13 13 5 1 NW 5 74 W 9 566 P 11/18-06 10 0 23 54 W 13 1 84 W 8 585 P 11/18-07 10 0 24 57 W 12 1 87 W 8 563 P 11/18-08 10 0 29 52 W 10 10 5 1 NW 2 90 W 7 541 P 11/18-09 10 0 35 44 W 8 1 222 W 6 907 P 11/18-10 10 0 43 36 W 6 1 355 W 5 1273 P 11/18-11 10 0 46 34 W 5 5 5 1 W 5 487 NW 3 1639 P 11/18-12 10 0 50 31 W 5 1 870 NW 5 3516 P 11/18-13 10 0 50 30 NW 5 1 1253 NW 5 5394 P 11/18-14 10 0 50 30 NW 6 6 5 1 W 8 1636 NW 5 7271 P 11/18-15 10 0 48 32 NW 6 1 1140 NW 6 5115 P 11/18-16 10 0 42 37 W 6 1 643 W 6 2958 P 11/18-17 43 0 37 44 W 7 7 4 1 W 9 147 W 6 802 P 11/18-18 43 0 34 50 W 9 1 131 W 8 838 P 11/18-19 43 0 31 57 W 12 1 115 W 9 875 P 11/18-20 43 0 30 61 W 14 22 4 1 SW 7 99 W 10 911 P 11/18-21 43 0 28 65 W 14 1 95 W 10 867 P 11/18-22 43 0 26 71 W 14 1 90 W 10 823 P 11/18-23 43 0 26 71 W 13 13 3 1 SW10 86 W 10 778 P 11/19-00 43 0 25 70 W 13 1 95 W 10 825 P 11/19-01 43 0 29 58 W 13 1 105 W 9 873 P 11/19-02 43 0 29 57 W 13 13 3 1 SW10 114 W 9 920 P 11/19-03 43 0 28 58 W 14 1 112 W 9 944 P 11/19-04 43 0 26 62 W 14 1 111 W 10 968 P 11/19-05 45 0 26 62 W 14 22 3 1 W14 109 W 10 992 P 11/19-06 45 0 25 67 W 13 1 120 W 9 869 P 11/19-07 45 0 25 69 W 10 1 132 W 7 745 P 11/19-08 45 0 27 66 W 8 8 3 1 W12 143 W 5 621 P 11/19-09 45 0 32 58 SW 6 1 572 W 5 2208 P 11/19-10 45 0 37 50 SE 3 1 1002 W 5 3796 P 11/19-11 45 0 40 48 E 2 2 3 1 W 9 1432 W 5 5383 P 11/19-12 45 0 42 44 E 2 1 1833 W 6 10305 P 11/19-13 45 0 43 43 E 2 1 2235 NW 7 15227 P 11/19-14 45 0 42 42 E 3 3 2 1 W 9 2636 NW 9 20149 P 11/19-15 45 0 40 43 SE 3 1 1844 NW 7 13780 P 11/19-16 45 0 36 49 SW 3 1 1051 W 6 7411 P 11/19-17 34 0 32 57 SW 5 5 3 1 W17 258 W 5 1043 P 11/19-18 34 0 29 63 W 7 1 220 W 6 1031 P 11/19-19 34 0 27 70 W 9 1 181 W 7 1018 P 11/19-20 34 0 26 74 W 12 12 2 1 W15 142 W 8 1006 P 11/19-21 34 0 25 78 W 12 1 131 W 8 955 P 11/19-22 34 0 24 82 W 12 1 119 W 9 904 P 11/19-23 34 0 23 81 W 12 12 3 1 NW17 108 W 9 852 P 11/20-00 34 0 23 79 W 12 1 114 W 9 927 P 11/20-01 34 0 26 66 W 13 1 120 W 9 1001 P 11/20-02 34 0 25 64 W 13 13 3 1 NW26 125 W 10 1075 P 11/20-03 34 0 25 63 W 13 1 118 W 10 1031 P 11/20-04 34 0 23 64 W 14 1 111 W 10 987 P 11/20-05 41 0 23 61 W 14 22 4 NW22 104 W 10 943 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...KEITH BOL REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091117.MOUNT.01/BOU