FNUS75 KBOU 171141 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGARLOAF F1...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 435 AM MST TUE NOV 17 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS WILL BE OVER THE REGION TODAY. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE STATE FROM THE WEST. OVERALL...THE WIND PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY WEAK AND VARIABLE ALOFT WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL FOR BOTH TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-47. MIN HUMIDITY........20-23%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-30. MAX HUMIDITY........62-66%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 12-20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1700...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....44. MIN HUMIDITY........32%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 12-18 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW AFTER 0600. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SUGARLOAF F1. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/17-04 3 0 30 61 W 15 1 276 W 10 2491 P 11/17-05 3 0 31 57 W 16 25 3 1 N17 267 W 13 2857 P 11/17-06 3 0 31 55 W 15 1 331 W 12 3080 P 11/17-07 3 0 32 49 W 14 1 396 W 10 3304 P 11/17-08 3 0 35 41 W 13 13 3 1 N15 460 W 9 3528 P 11/17-09 3 0 38 33 W 12 1 806 W 8 4692 P 11/17-10 3 0 42 27 W 9 1 1151 W 7 5857 P 11/17-11 3 0 44 24 W 8 8 3 1 N 8 1496 W 6 7022 P 11/17-12 3 0 45 22 W 8 1 1646 W 6 7781 P 11/17-13 3 0 46 22 W 8 1 1797 W 6 8541 P 11/17-14 3 0 46 22 W 9 9 4 1 N 6 1947 W 6 9300 P 11/17-15 3 0 46 23 W 10 1 1585 W 6 7948 P 11/17-16 3 0 44 24 W 12 1 1223 W 7 6596 P 11/17-17 6 0 42 27 W 13 13 4 1 N 5 860 W 7 5244 P 11/17-18 6 0 39 30 W 13 1 658 W 8 4280 P 11/17-19 6 0 37 32 W 13 1 456 W 9 3317 P 11/17-20 6 0 36 33 W 13 13 4 1 N 3 254 W 10 2353 P 11/17-21 6 0 35 34 W 14 1 234 W 12 2305 P 11/17-22 6 0 34 34 W 15 1 215 W 13 2256 P 11/17-23 6 0 34 34 W 16 25 4 1 NW 3 196 W 13 2208 P 11/18-00 6 0 34 33 W 16 1 188 W 13 2157 P 11/18-01 6 0 33 33 W 16 1 180 W 14 2105 P 11/18-02 6 0 33 33 W 16 25 4 1 W 5 172 W 14 2054 P 11/18-03 6 0 32 33 W 16 1 171 W 14 2054 P 11/18-04 6 0 32 32 W 17 1 170 W 14 2055 P 11/18-05 10 0 31 32 W 17 28 4 1 NW 5 169 W 14 2055 P 11/18-06 10 0 31 61 W 16 1 92 W 14 1115 P 11/18-07 10 0 32 66 W 15 1 93 W 14 1067 P 11/18-08 10 0 34 62 W 14 22 4 1 NW 2 94 W 13 1019 P 11/18-09 10 0 29 52 W 13 1 235 W 12 2157 P 11/18-10 10 0 36 41 W 13 1 376 W 10 3296 P 11/18-11 10 0 40 37 W 13 13 4 1 SW 5 518 W 10 4434 P 11/18-12 10 0 42 36 W 13 1 712 W 10 6211 P 11/18-13 10 0 44 35 W 13 1 906 W 10 7989 P 11/18-14 10 0 42 39 W 13 13 4 1 SW 9 1100 W 10 9766 P 11/18-15 10 0 42 39 W 13 1 801 W 12 7239 P 11/18-16 10 0 38 45 W 13 1 501 W 12 4713 P 11/18-17 46 0 33 53 W 13 13 4 1 W 9 201 W 13 2186 P 11/18-18 46 0 29 63 W 14 1 180 W 14 2096 P 11/18-19 46 0 26 70 W 15 1 160 W 15 2005 P 11/18-20 46 0 26 67 W 16 25 4 1 SW 8 139 W 16 1915 P 11/18-21 46 0 26 66 W 16 1 134 W 15 1784 P 11/18-22 46 0 26 65 W 15 1 130 W 15 1654 P 11/18-23 46 0 25 67 W 15 24 4 1 SW10 125 W 14 1523 P 11/19-00 46 0 24 66 W 15 1 139 W 14 1704 P 11/19-01 46 0 27 58 W 16 1 153 W 14 1884 P 11/19-02 46 0 26 58 W 16 25 3 1 SW10 167 W 14 2064 P 11/19-03 46 0 25 60 W 16 1 163 W 14 2004 P 11/19-04 46 0 24 65 W 16 1 159 W 14 1943 P 11/19-05 46 0 24 65 W 16 25 3 1 W14 155 W 14 1883 P 11/19-06 46 0 22 72 W 15 1 154 W 13 1696 P 11/19-07 46 0 21 77 W 14 1 153 W 12 1510 P 11/19-08 46 0 23 75 W 12 12 2 1 W13 152 W 10 1323 P 11/19-09 46 0 27 67 W 9 1 595 W 10 5027 P 11/19-10 46 0 33 56 W 7 1 1039 W 9 8731 P 11/19-11 46 0 35 52 W 6 6 2 1 W10 1483 W 9 12434 P 11/19-12 46 0 37 50 W 6 1 1873 W 12 18721 P 11/19-13 46 0 38 48 W 6 1 2264 W 13 25008 P 11/19-14 46 0 37 51 W 7 7 2 1 W13 2654 W 14 31295 P 11/19-15 46 0 36 52 W 8 1 1896 W 13 22028 P 11/19-16 46 0 33 59 W 10 1 1139 W 12 12760 P 11/19-17 34 0 29 69 W 12 12 2 1 W18 381 W 10 3493 P 11/19-18 34 0 26 78 W 13 1 311 W 12 2979 P 11/19-19 34 0 23 82 W 14 1 242 W 13 2465 P 11/19-20 34 0 24 77 W 14 22 2 1 W15 172 W 13 1951 P 11/19-21 34 0 24 75 W 14 1 169 W 14 1967 P 11/19-22 34 0 24 73 W 15 1 165 W 14 1984 P 11/19-23 34 0 23 75 W 15 24 3 1 NW22 162 W 14 2000 P 11/20-00 34 0 22 73 W 16 1 193 W 15 2641 P 11/20-01 34 0 24 64 W 16 1 224 W 16 3282 P 11/20-02 34 0 24 63 W 17 28 4 1 NW22 255 W 17 3923 P 11/20-03 34 0 23 62 W 17 1 231 W 17 3496 P 11/20-04 34 0 22 64 W 17 1 206 W 17 3069 P 11/20-05 41 0 22 62 W 17 28 4 NW22 182 W 17 2641 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...TIM EGAN REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091117.SUGAR.01/BOU