FNUS76 KMFR 171501
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRUSHY ELK HAZEL 4 5...USFS/GFI
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
701 AM PST TUE NOV 17 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON NOVEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG COLD FRONT HAS MOVED PAST THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING.
RAIN SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF LATER TODAY. SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER FROM
4000 FEET TODAY TO AROUND 3000 FEET TONIGHT. ANOTHER VERY STRONG COLD
FRONT WILL ARRIVE FRIDAY WITH STRONG WINDS AND SNOW LEVELS LOWERING
TO 3000 FEET.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN BECOMING RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
MIN HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS GRADUALLY DECREASING. A FEW SNOW
                    FLAKES POSSIBLE MIXED WITH RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WIND 0 TO 2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO SURFACE.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY AS THE SNOW LEVEL
                    RISES TO 4000 FEET.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
MIN HUMIDITY........76-86 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 16 TO 26 MPH.
CWR.................42 PERCENT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS 35 TO 40. HIGHS 42 TO 47. SOUTH
WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
RAIN BECOMING MIXED WITH SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT. LOWS 37 TO 42.
HIGHS 39 TO 44. SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS 37 TO 42. HIGHS 41 TO
46. SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...OBRIEN
REQUESTED BY...DON BELLVILLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091117.BRUSH.01/MFR