FNUS73 KAPX 181952 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE BEES 8...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 252 PM EST WED NOV 18 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1440 EST ON NOVEMBER 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL ROTATE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE LOWER PENINSULA TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. SKIES WILL TURN CLOUDY BY MIDNIGHT WITH LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS AND DRIZZLE DEVELOPING BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY. RAINFALL AT THE BURN SITE WILL REMAIN LIGHT...UNDER A TENTH OF AN INCH. HOWEVER...WITH THE DRIZZLE...EXPECT SURFACE CONDITIONS TO REMAIN WET THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY. EASTERLY WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY INTO THE EVENING HOURS TONIGHT...BEFORE EVENTUALLY WEAKENING AS THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES OVERHEAD OVERNIGHT. LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW...WITH WINDS STARTING OUT OF THE EAST...THEN VEERING AROUND TO THE SOUTHWEST BY LATE IN THE DAY. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS DEVELOPING...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40. RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 7 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-500 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........MIN 2. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0). TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........71 91 91 91 99 99 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............46 44 43 43 43 43 RH..............71 73 76 79 84 88 20 FT WIND......E 6 E 6 SE 8 SE 6 SE 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 15 10 10 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 3 3 3 SMOKE DISP......100 100 100 0 0 0 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (100 PERCENT). LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS AND AREAS OF DRIZZLE. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 47. RH..................MIN 84 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........MAX 3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX GOOD(300). TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........99 95 95 95 95 95 WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............43 41 43 45 46 46 RH..............85 100 95 88 85 86 20 FT WIND......E 6 E 4 SE 5 S 5 S 5 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 3 3 3 SMOKE DISP......100 100 100 300 300 300 $$ FORECASTER...KEVIN SULLIVAN REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091118.BLUEB.03/APX