FNUS75 KBOU 180110 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR EVERGREEN 6B...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 608 PM MST TUE NOV 17 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS TO THE BURN SITE. LIGHT WINDS AT BOTH THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL KEEP SMOKE DISPERSION IN THE POOR CATEGORY WEDNESDAY DESPITE SUNNY SKIES AND MILD TEMPERATURES. THERE IS LITTLE HOPE FOR ANYTHING BETTER THAN FAIR SMOKE DISPERSION EVEN THURSDAY AS FLOW ALOFT INCREASES ONLY SLIGHTLY. SOMEWHAT BETTER MIXING AND DISPERSION MAY DEVELOP BY THE WEEKEND AS FLOW ALOFT INCREASES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....53. MIN HUMIDITY........25%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5-9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1400 FT AGL UNTIL 1300...THEN 2800-3800 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 1200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....22. MAX HUMIDITY........64%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....41. MIN HUMIDITY........38%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 6-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR EVERGREEN 6B. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/17-17 0 0 40 44 W 5 5 5 1 NE 8 407 W 2 843 P 11/17-18 0 0 36 48 W 6 1 306 W 3 686 P 11/17-19 0 0 32 53 W 6 1 205 W 3 529 P 11/17-20 0 0 29 56 W 6 6 5 1 NE 7 104 W 5 372 P 11/17-21 0 0 27 57 W 6 1 100 W 5 401 P 11/17-22 0 0 27 57 W 6 1 95 W 6 429 P 11/17-23 0 0 26 56 W 7 7 5 1 E 2 91 W 6 457 P 11/18-00 0 0 26 54 W 7 1 89 W 6 482 P 11/18-01 0 0 26 52 W 8 1 87 W 7 507 P 11/18-02 0 0 25 50 W 8 8 5 1 SW 2 85 W 7 532 P 11/18-03 0 0 25 49 W 8 1 83 W 7 518 P 11/18-04 0 0 24 49 W 8 1 81 W 7 504 P 11/18-05 0 0 24 50 W 8 8 5 1 W 2 78 W 7 490 P 11/18-06 0 0 24 50 W 7 1 82 W 7 450 P 11/18-07 0 0 25 50 W 7 1 85 W 6 411 P 11/18-08 0 0 27 48 W 6 6 5 1 CALM 88 W 5 371 P 11/18-09 0 0 33 42 W 6 1 143 W 5 541 P 11/18-10 0 0 37 40 W 6 1 198 W 5 711 P 11/18-11 0 0 40 37 E 4 6 5 1 S 5 253 S 3 880 P 11/18-12 0 0 44 33 E 4 1 1677 SE 5 7185 P 11/18-13 0 0 48 29 E 4 1 3100 SE 5 13489 P 11/18-14 0 0 51 25 E 5 5 5 1 SW 9 4524 SE 5 19794 P 11/18-15 0 0 49 28 W 4 1 3401 W 5 14674 P 11/18-16 0 0 45 33 W 7 1 2278 NW 5 9555 P 11/18-17 24 0 44 35 W 8 8 5 1 SW12 1155 NW 5 4436 P 11/18-18 24 0 39 46 W 9 1 282 W 8 1890 P 11/18-19 24 0 35 50 W 10 1 215 W 9 1584 P 11/18-20 24 0 34 54 W 11 15 4 1 SW13 147 W 10 1278 P 11/18-21 24 0 29 57 W 10 1 141 W 10 1208 P 11/18-22 24 0 28 58 W 10 1 135 W 9 1138 P 11/18-23 24 0 27 59 W 10 15 3 1 SW14 129 W 9 1068 P 11/19-00 24 0 27 60 W 10 1 129 W 9 1019 P 11/19-01 24 0 26 60 W 10 1 129 W 9 970 P 11/19-02 24 0 26 60 W 10 14 3 1 SW15 129 W 8 920 P 11/19-03 24 0 25 59 W 10 1 135 W 8 892 P 11/19-04 24 0 25 59 W 9 1 141 W 7 864 P 11/19-05 30 0 25 59 W 9 16 3 1 W15 147 W 7 837 P 11/19-06 30 0 25 61 W 9 1 156 W 7 923 P 11/19-07 30 0 25 64 W 8 1 164 W 7 1010 P 11/19-08 30 0 26 64 W 8 8 3 1 W13 173 W 7 1097 P 11/19-09 30 0 29 58 W 6 1 556 W 7 3046 P 11/19-10 30 0 34 50 W 5 1 939 W 7 4995 P 11/19-11 30 0 37 44 NW 2 2 3 1 W15 1322 NW 6 6944 P 11/19-12 30 0 39 41 NE 2 1 1807 NW 7 11432 P 11/19-13 30 0 40 38 NE 2 1 2292 W 8 15919 P 11/19-14 30 0 40 38 NE 2 2 3 1 W17 2778 W 8 20406 P 11/19-15 30 0 39 41 NW 3 1 2032 W 8 14828 P 11/19-16 30 0 37 46 W 6 1 1286 W 8 9249 P 11/19-17 11 0 34 52 W 7 7 2 1 W18 539 W 8 3670 P 11/19-18 11 0 32 56 W 9 1 417 W 8 2958 P 11/19-19 11 0 29 60 W 10 1 295 W 9 2246 P 11/19-20 11 0 27 62 W 13 22 3 1 NW18 173 W 10 1534 P 11/19-21 11 0 26 65 W 13 1 160 W 10 1472 P 11/19-22 11 0 25 68 W 13 1 146 W 12 1411 P 11/19-23 11 0 25 69 W 13 22 4 1 NW21 133 W 12 1350 P 11/20-00 11 0 24 69 W 13 1 128 W 12 1270 P 11/20-01 11 0 24 67 W 13 1 123 W 12 1190 P 11/20-02 11 0 23 65 W 13 22 3 1 N21 118 W 10 1109 P 11/20-03 11 0 23 62 W 13 1 115 W 12 1124 P 11/20-04 11 0 23 59 W 14 1 112 W 12 1139 P 11/20-05 26 0 23 56 W 14 23 4 1 N22 109 W 13 1154 P 11/20-06 26 0 23 54 W 14 1 111 W 12 1124 P 11/20-07 26 0 23 53 W 13 1 112 W 12 1093 P 11/20-08 26 0 25 49 W 13 22 5 1 NW21 113 W 10 1062 P 11/20-09 26 0 30 41 W 10 1 427 W 9 2634 P 11/20-10 26 0 36 33 W 8 1 741 W 8 4206 P 11/20-11 26 0 41 27 W 6 6 5 1 NW15 1055 NW 6 5778 P 11/20-12 26 0 44 24 W 6 1 1775 NW 7 11657 P 11/20-13 26 0 46 23 W 5 1 2496 NW 8 17536 P 11/20-14 26 0 47 22 W 5 5 5 1 W14 3217 NW 8 23415 P 11/20-15 26 0 46 23 W 6 1 2268 W 8 16278 P 11/20-16 26 0 42 27 W 8 1 1319 W 7 9142 P 11/20-17 39 0 39 31 W 9 16 5 1 W16 370 W 6 2006 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...BILL ALAKAI REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091118.EVERG.01/BOU