FNUS75 KGJT 172232
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BELLY ACHE PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
332 PM MST TUE NOV 17 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON NOVEMBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WHILE COOLING ALOFT IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY...IT
WILL ONLY SLIGHTLY WEAKEN THE STRONG CAP THAT HAS BEEN OVER THE
REGION SINCE LAST WEEKEND'S STORM. THEREFORE THE BURN SITE WILL
REMAIN BELOW THE TOP OF THE INVERSION AND MIXING HEIGHTS WILL
AGAIN STAY VERY LOW THROUGHOUT THE DAY.


.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-4 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4800 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (INCREASING TO 50-60% BY MIDNIGHT).
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS 0-5 MPH...INCREASING
                    TO 5-10 MPH TOWARDS MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4300...INCREASING TO 8400 KNOT-FT TOWARDS
                    MORNING).
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH...INCREASING TO 10 MPH
                    TOWARDS MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...NICK COLLARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091118.BELLY.02/GJT