FNUS75 KBOU 190239 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR REYNOLDS RANCH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 737 PM MST WED NOV 18 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SOME HIGH CLOUDS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA OTHERWISE IT WILL REMAIN DRY. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL INCREASE SOME ON THURSDAY SO SMOKE DISPERSAL MAY REACH THE FAIR CATEGORY FROM 1100 TO 1500. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....24. MAX HUMIDITY........58%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 12-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....37. MIN HUMIDITY........43%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 9-15 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN WEST 8-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 3400-4400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....22. MAX HUMIDITY........60%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 13-19 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 400-1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....43. MIN HUMIDITY........29%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 11-19 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR REYNOLDS RANCH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/18-19 37 0 36 33 W 15 1 1593 W 21 27973 P 11/18-20 37 0 35 35 W 15 24 4 1 W14 969 W 21 17275 P 11/18-21 37 0 33 37 W 15 1 823 W 20 14011 P 11/18-22 37 0 32 39 W 15 1 678 W 17 10746 P 11/18-23 37 0 31 40 W 15 24 3 1 W14 533 W 16 7482 P 11/19-00 37 0 30 42 W 16 1 478 W 15 6502 P 11/19-01 37 0 29 43 W 16 1 422 W 15 5522 P 11/19-02 37 0 28 45 W 16 25 3 1 W17 367 W 14 4543 P 11/19-03 37 0 28 47 W 16 1 341 W 14 4023 P 11/19-04 37 0 27 49 W 15 1 315 W 13 3503 P 11/19-05 47 0 26 52 W 14 22 3 1 W17 288 W 12 2983 P 11/19-06 47 0 25 55 W 13 1 458 W 12 4241 P 11/19-07 47 0 25 58 W 13 1 629 W 10 5498 P 11/19-08 47 0 27 55 W 12 12 2 1 W12 799 W 9 6755 P 11/19-09 47 0 28 55 W 9 1 1840 W 10 18355 P 11/19-10 47 0 32 49 W 8 1 2881 NW 12 29955 P 11/19-11 38 0 34 46 W 6 6 2 1 W14 3922 NW 13 41554 F 11/19-12 38 0 36 45 W 5 1 4090 NW 13 43605 F 11/19-13 38 0 37 43 W 5 1 4257 NW 13 45655 F 11/19-14 38 0 36 46 W 5 5 2 1 W15 4424 NW 13 47705 F 11/19-15 38 0 36 46 W 6 1 3791 NW 13 40636 F 11/19-16 38 0 33 52 W 7 1 3158 NW 13 33566 P 11/19-17 9 0 32 54 W 9 9 2 1 W20 3389 NW 14 42027 F 11/19-18 9 0 30 58 W 10 1 2570 W 14 31528 P 11/19-19 9 0 28 60 W 12 1 1751 W 14 21029 P 11/19-20 9 0 28 59 W 13 13 3 1 N24 932 W 13 10530 P 11/19-21 9 0 27 60 W 14 1 944 W 14 11738 P 11/19-22 9 0 26 60 W 14 1 956 W 16 12946 P 11/19-23 9 0 26 59 W 14 22 4 1 N29 967 W 17 14154 P 11/20-00 9 0 25 58 W 14 1 862 W 16 12521 P 11/20-01 9 0 25 57 W 14 1 757 W 16 10888 P 11/20-02 9 0 24 56 W 14 22 4 1 N24 653 W 16 9256 P 11/20-03 9 0 24 54 W 15 1 545 W 16 7621 P 11/20-04 9 0 24 53 W 16 1 438 W 15 5986 P 11/20-05 16 0 23 52 W 17 28 4 1 NW24 331 W 15 4351 P 11/20-06 16 0 23 52 W 17 1 361 W 15 4482 P 11/20-07 16 0 24 51 W 16 1 391 W 14 4612 P 11/20-08 16 0 27 44 W 15 24 3 1 N25 421 W 13 4743 P 11/20-09 16 0 32 40 W 14 1 1183 W 14 14629 P 11/20-10 16 0 37 37 W 14 1 1945 W 14 24514 P 11/20-11 33 0 39 37 W 13 13 3 1 N23 2707 NW 15 34400 P 11/20-12 33 0 41 35 W 12 1 2809 NW 15 37912 P 11/20-13 33 0 41 33 W 12 1 2911 NW 16 41423 F 11/20-14 33 0 42 31 W 12 12 3 1 NW20 3013 NW 17 44935 F 11/20-15 33 0 42 30 W 12 1 2435 W 15 34437 P 11/20-16 33 0 40 29 W 13 1 1856 W 14 23938 P 11/20-17 51 0 38 30 W 13 13 4 1 W22 1278 W 13 13440 P 11/20-18 51 0 36 33 W 13 1 945 W 13 10017 P 11/20-19 51 0 34 35 W 14 1 611 W 13 6594 P 11/20-20 51 0 33 36 W 14 22 4 1 W23 278 W 13 3171 P 11/20-21 51 0 32 38 W 14 1 242 W 14 2780 P 11/20-22 51 0 31 38 W 14 1 206 W 14 2388 P 11/20-23 51 0 31 39 W 14 22 4 1 W28 169 W 14 1996 P 11/21-00 51 0 30 40 W 14 1 160 W 14 1970 P 11/21-01 51 0 30 42 W 14 1 151 W 15 1944 P 11/21-02 51 0 29 44 W 15 24 4 1 W40 142 W 15 1917 P 11/21-03 51 0 29 46 W 16 1 147 W 17 2213 P 11/21-04 51 0 29 47 W 17 1 153 W 18 2508 P 11/21-05 75 10 28 49 W 18 30 4 1 SW45 158 W 21 2804 P 11/21-06 75 10 28 51 W 18 1 191 W 22 3591 P 11/21-07 75 10 28 51 W 18 1 225 W 22 4377 P 11/21-08 75 10 31 46 W 17 28 3 1 SW41 258 W 23 5164 P 11/21-09 75 10 35 39 W 16 1 1155 W 30 40128 F 11/21-10 75 10 39 34 W 15 1 2052 W 37 75092 G 11/21-11 75 10 42 31 W 15 24 3 1 SW55 2949 W 43 110056 V 11/21-12 75 10 43 30 W 16 1 3335 W 43 122213 V 11/21-13 75 10 44 30 W 17 1 3720 W 41 134370 V 11/21-14 75 10 44 30 W 20 31 4 1 SW51 4106 W 41 146526 V 11/21-15 75 10 44 31 W 21 1 3845 W 38 128523 V 11/21-16 75 10 42 33 W 23 1 3585 W 35 110520 V 11/21-17 62 15 38 39 W 24 39 3 1 SW41 3324 W 32 92517 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...BOULDER COUNTY SHERIFF S OFFICE REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091119.REYNO.01/BOU