FNUS76 KLOX 181802
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLIAMSW...SANTA BARBARA COUNTY FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1002 AM PST WED NOV 18 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON NOVEMBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A PASSING COLD FRONT BROUGHT COOLER TEMPERATURES AND INCREASED
HUMIDITIES TODAY. GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL AFFECT THE AREA
TONIGHT THEN SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST BY THURSDAY MORNING. BASED ON
THE EXPOSURE...NOT CERTAIN OF HOW MUCH OF THE NORTHEAST WIND WILL
AFFECT THE PROPOSED IGNITION AREA...BUT SHOULD BE BREEZY AT LEAST
NEARBY THROUGH MID THURSDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE AND
HUMIDITIES WILL FALL ON THURSDAY WITH THE NORTHEAST FLOW. A
STRENGTHENING INVERSION WILL KEEP MIXING HEIGHTS FAIRLY LOW. NO
MARINE LAYER EXPECTED.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING NORTHEAST 8-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTH 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING NORTHEAST 8-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL EARLY BECOMING LESS THAN 300 FT
                    AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15-25 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST 8-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING BECOMING NORTH 5-10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHEAST 8-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHWEST 6-12 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 300 FT AGL EARLY BECOMING 3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8-15 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 6-12 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH 4-8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    SOUTH 5-10 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL EARLY BECOMING LESS THAN 300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 5-10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...KITTELL
REQUESTED BY...JASON MCCARTY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091119.WILLI.01/LOX