FNUS76 KMFR 190149
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCOTCHWOOD   2 3 5...USFS/GFI
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
549 PM PST WED NOV 18 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 PST ON NOVEMBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION
INTO THURSDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE BURN AREA
FRIDAY MORNING. SOUTH WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE INLAND
MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS THURSDAY EVENING...THEN BECOME
STRONG AND GUSTY THURSDAY NIGHT JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. SNOW LEVELS
WILL LOWER TO AROUND 3000 FEET BY LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. IT WILL REMAIN
DRY THROUGH THURSDAY...THEN PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-53.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 1-3 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTH
                    3-6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR THE SURFACE INCREASING TO 2500-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 2-4 MPH IN THE MORNING. THEN SOUTH 25 TO
                    35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....NONE

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-39.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 6-8 MPH
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15-20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT IN THE EVENING. 60 LATE TONIGHT.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.05-0.10 INCH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN IN THE MORNING. THEN SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS. SNOW LEVEL LOWERING TO 3500 FEET BY
                    EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-42.
MIN HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 5-9 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    2-4 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL IN THE MORNING. INCREASING TO 3000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 20-25 MPH IN THE MORNING. BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AND DECREASING TO 8-15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................98 PERCENT.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.80-1.20 INCHES.

$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI
REQUESTED BY...DON BELLVILLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091119.SCOTC.01/MFR