FNUS76 KMFR 200542
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCOTCHWOOD   2 3 5...USFS/GFI
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
942 PM PST THU NOV 19 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON NOVEMBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY
MORNING. STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AND PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP
AHEAD OF IT. A MUCH COOLER AIRMASS WILL SPREAD OVER THE REGION FRIDAY
NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH SNOW LEVELS LOWERING TO NEAR THE TOP OF THE
BURN AREA. HOWEVER...SNOW TOTALS WILL BE MINIMAL AS THE PRECIPITATION
WILL BE DIMINISHING BY THE TIME THE LEVELS DROP THAT LOW. SNOW LEVELS
WILL RISE BACK ABOVE THE BURN AREA SATURDAY.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN CHANGING TO RAIN SHOWERS
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-45.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-72 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 6-8 MPH BECOMING WEST TO NORTHWEST 4-6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR SURFACE RISING TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 6-8 MPH BECOMING WEST 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
                    SNOW LEVEL LOWERING TO 2500 FEET LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-31.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST TO NORTHWEST 4-6 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL LOWERING TO NEAR THE SURFACE.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN LIKELY. SNOW LEVEL RISING TO 3000 FEET IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-47.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-67 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR SURFACE RISING TO 3000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...STOCKTON
REQUESTED BY...DON BELLVILLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091120.SCOTC.01/MFR