FNUS75 KBOU 231058 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR CUB CREEK PARK PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 357 AM MST MON NOV 23 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1100. ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 1 INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE. GUSTY WEST WINDS SHOULD HELP WITH DISPERSAL FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS UNLESS WINDS ARE LESS THAN FORECAST. FOR NOW I WILL HAVE DISPERSAL BECOMING GOOD AFTER 1100. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1700...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1700. MAX TEMPERATURE.....35. MIN HUMIDITY........43%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 14-22 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1800 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 3800-4800 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 7800-8800 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 9600-10600 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 6600-7600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....17. MAX HUMIDITY........80%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 11-17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-5400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 200-1200 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2200. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....40. MIN HUMIDITY........34%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 11-17 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN WEST 8-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN FAIR. . HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .THANKSGIVING DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR CUB CREEK PARK PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/23-03 60 33 24 62 W 10 1 232 W 17 3419 P 11/23-04 60 33 24 66 W 10 1 223 W 16 3150 P 11/23-05 73 40 23 71 NW 5 5 2 1 W28 213 W 16 2880 P 11/23-06 73 40 22 75 NW 5 1 738 W 18 15019 P 11/23-07 73 40 22 76 NW 9 1 1264 W 22 27158 P 11/23-08 73 40 24 70 NW 14 22 3 1 W29 1789 NW 25 39296 P 11/23-09 73 40 28 61 NW 16 1 3443 NW 29 94514 G 11/23-10 73 40 31 54 NW 17 1 5098 NW 32 149733 V 11/23-11 72 20 33 49 NW 18 30 2 1 NW25 6752 NW 35 204951 E 11/23-12 72 20 34 46 NW 20 1 8080 NW 30 201963 E 11/23-13 72 20 34 45 NW 20 1 9409 NW 25 198976 E 11/23-14 72 20 35 43 NW 20 31 3 1 NW18 10737 NW 21 195989 E 11/23-15 72 20 34 43 NW 20 1 9305 NW 20 164860 E 11/23-16 72 20 33 45 NW 20 1 7872 NW 20 133731 V 11/23-17 37 0 29 50 NW 18 30 3 1 NW17 6440 NW 18 102602 V 11/23-18 37 0 27 55 NW 16 1 5372 NW 20 87601 G 11/23-19 37 0 25 59 W 15 1 4305 NW 20 72600 G 11/23-20 37 0 24 60 W 13 13 3 1 N22 3237 NW 21 57598 F 11/23-21 37 0 23 62 W 12 1 2588 NW 18 43714 F 11/23-22 37 0 22 63 W 12 1 1939 NW 16 29829 P 11/23-23 45 0 22 64 W 12 12 2 1 N35 1290 NW 14 15944 P 11/24-00 45 0 21 66 W 12 1 1039 NW 15 13080 P 11/24-01 45 0 20 68 W 13 1 788 NW 15 10217 P 11/24-02 45 0 20 70 W 14 22 2 1 N54 537 W 16 7354 P 11/24-03 45 0 19 72 W 14 1 442 W 15 5830 P 11/24-04 45 0 19 75 W 15 1 348 W 14 4307 P 11/24-05 24 0 18 78 W 15 24 3 1 N48 295 W 17 4362 P 11/24-06 24 0 18 80 W 15 1 353 W 16 4893 P 11/24-07 24 0 19 76 W 15 1 410 W 15 5424 P 11/24-08 24 0 22 66 W 14 22 3 1 N53 468 NW 15 5954 P 11/24-09 24 0 27 53 W 12 1 1523 NW 16 23522 P 11/24-10 24 0 33 43 W 9 1 2577 NW 17 41090 F 11/24-11 24 0 36 38 W 7 7 3 1 N38 3632 NW 18 58658 F 11/24-12 24 0 38 36 NW 6 1 3781 NW 18 61610 G 11/24-13 24 0 39 35 NW 5 1 3931 NW 18 64563 G 11/24-14 24 0 39 34 N 5 5 3 1 N30 4080 NW 20 67515 G 11/24-15 24 0 39 36 NW 6 1 3185 NW 17 49894 F 11/24-16 24 0 38 39 W 7 1 2290 NW 15 32273 P 11/24-17 24 0 35 44 W 8 8 2 1 N30 1395 NW 13 14652 P 11/24-18 24 0 32 50 W 9 1 1013 NW 12 10507 P 11/24-19 24 0 30 55 W 10 1 631 W 10 6362 P 11/24-20 24 0 29 58 W 12 12 2 1 N26 250 W 10 2218 P 11/24-21 24 0 28 61 W 13 1 219 W 10 1987 P 11/24-22 24 0 27 63 W 13 1 189 W 10 1757 P 11/24-23 58 0 27 65 W 13 13 2 1 N21 158 W 12 1527 P 11/25-00 58 0 26 67 W 13 1 151 W 10 1428 P 11/25-01 58 0 25 69 W 12 1 143 W 10 1329 P 11/25-02 58 0 25 70 W 12 12 2 1 NW20 136 W 10 1230 P 11/25-03 58 0 24 72 W 12 1 135 W 10 1225 P 11/25-04 58 0 24 74 W 12 1 134 W 10 1220 P 11/25-05 58 0 23 77 W 12 12 2 1 NW26 133 W 10 1215 P 11/25-06 58 0 22 80 W 12 1 157 W 10 1313 P 11/25-07 58 0 23 80 W 10 1 181 W 9 1410 P 11/25-08 58 0 27 71 W 9 9 2 1 NW29 205 W 8 1507 P 11/25-09 58 0 33 58 W 8 1 1204 W 13 20418 P 11/25-10 58 0 38 49 NW 6 1 2203 NW 17 39329 P 11/25-11 32 0 41 43 N 5 5 3 1 NW32 3202 NW 21 58240 F 11/25-12 32 0 44 40 N 5 1 3653 NW 21 66461 G 11/25-13 32 0 45 38 N 5 1 4104 NW 21 74681 G 11/25-14 32 0 45 37 N 5 5 2 1 NW30 4555 NW 21 82902 G 11/25-15 32 0 45 37 N 6 1 3421 NW 18 59902 F 11/25-16 32 0 43 38 NW 7 1 2287 NW 16 36903 P 11/25-17 32 0 39 43 W 8 8 2 1 NW31 1154 NW 14 13903 P 11/25-18 32 0 36 48 W 9 1 840 NW 13 9872 P 11/25-19 32 0 34 51 W 10 1 526 W 12 5841 P 11/25-20 32 0 33 51 W 12 12 2 1 N28 212 W 10 1810 P 11/25-21 32 0 32 51 W 12 1 193 W 10 1649 P 11/25-22 32 0 31 51 W 12 1 174 W 10 1487 P 11/25-23 32 0 30 51 W 12 12 2 1 N22 155 W 10 1325 P 11/26-00 32 0 29 51 W 12 1 146 W 10 1271 P 11/26-01 32 0 29 52 W 12 1 137 W 10 1216 P 11/26-02 32 0 28 53 W 12 12 2 1 N26 127 W 10 1162 P 11/26-03 32 0 27 55 W 12 1 122 W 10 1098 P 11/26-04 32 0 27 56 W 12 1 116 W 10 1034 P 11/26-05 23 0 26 59 W 12 12 2 1 N28 110 W 10 970 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...KIRK WILL REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091123.CUBCR.01/BOU