FNUS75 KBOU 231053 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGARLOAF F1...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 353 AM MST MON NOV 23 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1100. ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 1 INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE. GUSTY WEST WINDS SHOULD HELP WITH DISPERSAL FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS UNLESS WINDS ARE LESS THAN FORECAST. FOR NOW I WILL HAVE DISPERSAL BECOMING GOOD AFTER 1100. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1700...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1700. MAX TEMPERATURE.....32. MIN HUMIDITY........52%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 11-21 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 6600-7600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....16. MAX HUMIDITY........84%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 15-24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1200-2200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2200. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....37. MIN HUMIDITY........37%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 14-22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. .THANKSGIVING DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SUGARLOAF F1. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/23-03 90 40 21 71 W 15 1 579 W 30 14792 P 11/23-04 90 40 21 75 W 14 1 603 W 29 14872 P 11/23-05 81 40 20 80 NW 8 8 2 1 W35 628 W 28 14952 P 11/23-06 81 40 20 84 NW 8 1 1322 W 26 30353 P 11/23-07 81 40 20 85 NW 12 1 2017 W 26 45754 F 11/23-08 81 40 22 78 NW 15 24 2 1 W30 2711 W 26 61155 G 11/23-09 81 40 25 69 NW 16 1 3908 W 29 103859 V 11/23-10 81 40 27 61 NW 16 1 5105 NW 32 146564 V 11/23-11 72 20 29 57 NW 16 25 2 1 N21 6303 NW 35 189269 E 11/23-12 72 20 30 54 NW 17 1 7051 NW 30 175860 E 11/23-13 72 20 31 53 W 17 1 7799 NW 25 162452 E 11/23-14 72 20 31 52 W 18 30 3 1 NW14 8546 NW 20 149043 V 11/23-15 72 20 31 52 W 20 1 7718 NW 21 135801 V 11/23-16 72 20 29 54 W 20 1 6889 NW 21 122560 V 11/23-17 48 0 27 60 W 20 31 2 1 NW16 6060 NW 21 109318 V 11/23-18 48 0 24 65 W 18 1 5279 NW 20 91583 G 11/23-19 48 0 23 69 W 18 1 4498 NW 18 73849 G 11/23-20 48 0 22 70 W 17 28 3 1 N22 3716 NW 17 56114 F 11/23-21 48 0 21 72 W 17 1 3036 NW 15 42851 F 11/23-22 48 0 21 72 W 17 1 2356 NW 14 29588 P 11/23-23 45 0 20 73 W 17 28 2 1 N39 1675 NW 12 16325 P 11/24-00 45 0 20 75 W 17 1 1593 NW 13 17531 P 11/24-01 45 0 19 76 W 18 1 1511 NW 15 18736 P 11/24-02 45 0 19 78 W 18 30 2 1 N54 1429 NW 16 19941 P 11/24-03 45 0 18 79 W 20 1 1270 NW 17 18368 P 11/24-04 45 0 18 81 W 20 1 1111 NW 17 16796 P 11/24-05 26 0 17 83 W 21 33 3 1 N56 982 W 22 18458 P 11/24-06 26 0 17 84 W 21 1 1043 NW 21 18707 P 11/24-07 26 0 18 81 W 21 1 1105 NW 20 18956 P 11/24-08 26 0 21 70 W 21 33 3 1 N49 1166 NW 18 19205 P 11/24-09 26 0 26 57 W 20 1 1732 NW 20 29181 P 11/24-10 26 0 30 46 W 18 1 2297 NW 20 39157 P 11/24-11 26 0 33 41 W 17 28 3 1 N38 2863 NW 20 49133 F 11/24-12 26 0 35 38 W 16 1 3078 NW 20 52562 F 11/24-13 26 0 36 38 W 16 1 3293 NW 20 55990 F 11/24-14 26 0 37 37 W 16 25 3 1 N32 3508 NW 20 59419 F 11/24-15 26 0 36 39 W 16 1 2897 NW 18 46835 F 11/24-16 26 0 35 42 W 17 1 2287 NW 16 34252 P 11/24-17 26 0 33 46 W 17 28 2 1 N32 1676 NW 15 21668 P 11/24-18 26 0 31 51 W 17 1 1438 NW 14 18138 P 11/24-19 26 0 29 56 W 18 1 1200 NW 14 14608 P 11/24-20 26 0 29 58 W 18 30 2 1 N26 962 NW 14 11078 P 11/24-21 26 0 28 61 W 18 1 814 NW 14 9623 P 11/24-22 26 0 27 63 W 18 1 667 W 14 8168 P 11/24-23 54 0 27 64 W 18 30 2 1 NW20 519 W 15 6712 P 11/25-00 54 0 26 66 W 18 1 490 W 14 6029 P 11/25-01 54 0 26 67 W 17 1 460 W 14 5345 P 11/25-02 54 0 25 69 W 17 28 2 1 NW23 430 W 13 4661 P 11/25-03 54 0 25 69 W 17 1 417 W 13 4633 P 11/25-04 54 0 24 71 W 16 1 404 W 13 4604 P 11/25-05 54 0 24 73 W 16 25 2 1 NW31 392 W 14 4576 P 11/25-06 54 0 24 76 W 16 1 454 W 13 5103 P 11/25-07 54 0 24 76 W 16 1 516 W 13 5630 P 11/25-08 54 0 27 71 W 15 24 3 1 NW32 578 W 13 6158 P 11/25-09 54 0 31 63 W 14 1 1348 W 16 22793 P 11/25-10 54 0 34 56 W 12 1 2117 NW 18 39429 P 11/25-11 35 0 37 52 W 10 10 3 1 NW32 2887 NW 22 56065 F 11/25-12 35 0 38 49 W 10 1 2900 NW 22 54066 F 11/25-13 35 0 39 48 W 10 1 2914 NW 21 52067 F 11/25-14 35 0 40 48 W 12 12 2 1 NW31 2927 NW 20 50069 F 11/25-15 35 0 39 48 W 13 1 2389 NW 17 38417 P 11/25-16 35 0 38 50 W 14 1 1851 NW 15 26764 P 11/25-17 35 0 35 55 W 15 24 2 1 NW32 1314 NW 14 15112 P 11/25-18 35 0 33 58 W 15 1 1000 NW 13 11354 P 11/25-19 35 0 31 59 W 15 1 686 W 13 7596 P 11/25-20 35 0 30 58 W 15 24 2 1 N26 372 W 12 3837 P 11/25-21 35 0 29 58 W 15 1 330 W 12 3407 P 11/25-22 35 0 29 58 W 15 1 288 W 12 2977 P 11/25-23 35 0 28 58 W 15 24 2 1 N24 247 W 12 2546 P 11/26-00 35 0 27 61 W 15 1 231 W 12 2415 P 11/26-01 35 0 27 64 W 15 1 216 W 13 2283 P 11/26-02 35 0 26 66 W 15 24 2 1 N31 200 W 13 2152 P 11/26-03 35 0 26 67 W 15 1 186 W 13 2016 P 11/26-04 35 0 25 68 W 15 1 172 W 13 1880 P 11/26-05 24 0 25 69 W 15 24 2 1 N28 158 W 13 1744 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ED LEBLANC REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091123.SUGAR.01/BOU