FNUS75 KBOU 231048 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR VASQUEZ RIDGE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 340 AM MST MON NOV 23 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED THIS SHOULD HELP WITH DISPERSAL ESPECIALLY FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS UNLESS WINDS ARE LESS THAN FORECAST. FOR NOW I WILL HAVE DISPERSAL BECOMING GOOD AFTER 1100. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1700...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....24. MIN HUMIDITY........56%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 13-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6400-7400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2300. MIN TEMPERATURE.....10. MAX HUMIDITY........91%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5600 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. 1400-1600 FT AGL AFTER 0300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2300. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....28. MIN HUMIDITY........46%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THANKSGIVING DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR VASQUEZ RIDGE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/23-03 93 77 18 83 W 12 1 1775 W 23 35967 P 11/23-04 93 77 17 85 W 12 1 2183 W 24 45601 F 11/23-05 90 80 17 88 NW 16 25 2 1 W55 2591 W 24 55236 F 11/23-06 90 80 16 88 NW 17 1 3339 W 25 75563 G 11/23-07 90 80 16 87 NW 17 1 4086 W 26 95891 G 11/23-08 90 80 17 80 NW 16 25 2 1 W43 4834 W 28 116218 V 11/23-09 90 80 19 72 NW 16 1 5475 NW 29 140829 V 11/23-10 90 80 21 64 NW 17 1 6116 NW 31 165440 E 11/23-11 70 60 22 60 NW 17 28 2 1 NW44 6757 NW 32 190050 E 11/23-12 70 60 23 57 NW 17 1 7077 NW 30 180168 E 11/23-13 70 60 23 56 NW 16 1 7398 NW 26 170286 E 11/23-14 70 60 23 56 W 16 25 2 1 NW33 7718 NW 24 160403 E 11/23-15 70 60 23 57 W 16 1 7181 NW 24 148522 V 11/23-16 70 60 22 59 W 15 1 6645 NW 24 136640 V 11/23-17 67 20 19 66 W 15 24 2 1 NW32 6108 NW 23 124758 V 11/23-18 67 20 17 72 W 14 1 5541 NW 23 110873 V 11/23-19 67 20 15 77 W 13 1 4975 NW 22 96988 G 11/23-20 67 20 15 79 W 12 12 2 1 N31 4409 NW 22 83103 G 11/23-21 67 20 14 81 W 9 1 3864 NW 20 68413 G 11/23-22 67 20 13 82 W 8 1 3319 NW 18 53722 F 11/23-23 59 0 13 83 W 7 7 2 1 N53 2774 NW 16 39032 P 11/24-00 59 0 12 85 W 7 1 2497 NW 16 35404 P 11/24-01 59 0 12 86 W 7 1 2220 W 16 31777 P 11/24-02 59 0 11 87 W 8 8 2 1 N61 1943 W 16 28150 P 11/24-03 59 0 11 88 W 8 1 1688 W 16 23998 P 11/24-04 59 0 11 89 W 9 1 1433 W 16 19847 P 11/24-05 29 0 10 90 W 9 9 3 1 N68 1403 W 17 21165 P 11/24-06 29 0 10 91 W 8 1 1488 W 17 21734 P 11/24-07 29 0 11 88 W 7 1 1572 W 16 22302 P 11/24-08 29 0 13 77 W 7 7 3 1 N51 1657 W 16 22871 P 11/24-09 29 0 18 63 W 8 1 1934 W 16 26958 P 11/24-10 29 0 22 53 W 10 1 2211 NW 16 31044 P 11/24-11 29 0 24 48 W 12 12 3 1 N41 2489 NW 16 35131 P 11/24-12 29 0 26 46 W 12 1 2570 NW 16 36179 P 11/24-13 29 0 27 46 W 12 1 2652 NW 16 37227 P 11/24-14 29 0 27 47 W 10 10 2 1 N37 2733 NW 16 38275 P 11/24-15 29 0 27 50 W 9 1 2500 NW 15 33351 P 11/24-16 29 0 26 54 W 9 1 2266 NW 14 28428 P 11/24-17 29 0 24 60 W 8 8 2 1 N36 2033 NW 14 23505 P 11/24-18 29 0 22 66 W 7 1 1762 W 13 19157 P 11/24-19 29 0 21 69 W 7 1 1490 W 12 14808 P 11/24-20 29 0 20 71 W 6 6 2 1 N24 1219 W 10 10460 P 11/24-21 29 0 20 72 SW 6 1 1053 W 9 8889 P 11/24-22 29 0 19 72 SW 6 1 887 W 9 7318 P 11/24-23 58 0 19 73 SW 6 6 2 1 NW18 722 W 9 5747 P 11/25-00 58 0 18 74 SW 6 1 667 W 9 5170 P 11/25-01 58 0 18 75 SW 5 1 613 W 8 4592 P 11/25-02 58 0 18 76 SW 5 5 2 1 NW23 559 W 8 4015 P 11/25-03 58 0 17 76 SW 5 1 505 W 8 3532 P 11/25-04 58 0 17 78 SW 5 1 452 W 8 3049 P 11/25-05 58 0 16 80 SW 5 5 2 1 NW29 399 W 7 2566 P 11/25-06 58 0 16 82 SW 5 1 497 W 8 3509 P 11/25-07 58 0 17 83 W 5 1 595 W 8 4452 P 11/25-08 58 0 19 77 W 5 5 2 1 NW31 693 W 9 5395 P 11/25-09 58 0 23 68 W 7 1 1241 W 13 16206 P 11/25-10 58 0 26 61 W 8 1 1789 W 15 27018 P 11/25-11 36 0 29 57 W 10 10 2 1 NW31 2337 NW 18 37829 P 11/25-12 36 0 30 54 W 12 1 2472 NW 18 40348 F 11/25-13 36 0 31 53 W 10 1 2606 NW 18 42867 F 11/25-14 36 0 31 52 W 10 10 2 1 NW32 2740 NW 20 45385 F 11/25-15 36 0 31 53 W 10 1 2354 NW 17 36794 P 11/25-16 36 0 30 54 W 9 1 1968 W 16 28204 P 11/25-17 36 0 27 59 W 8 8 2 1 N32 1582 W 14 19613 P 11/25-18 36 0 25 64 W 7 1 1191 W 12 13875 P 11/25-19 36 0 24 66 W 6 1 800 W 9 8138 P 11/25-20 36 0 23 66 SW 5 5 2 1 N29 409 W 7 2400 P 11/25-21 36 0 22 66 SW 5 1 366 W 6 2041 P 11/25-22 36 0 22 66 SW 5 1 323 W 6 1682 P 11/25-23 36 0 21 66 SW 5 5 2 1 N26 281 W 6 1322 P 11/26-00 36 0 21 67 SW 5 1 260 W 6 1214 P 11/26-01 36 0 20 69 SW 5 1 239 W 6 1106 P 11/26-02 36 0 20 69 SW 5 5 2 1 NW28 218 W 6 998 P 11/26-03 36 0 19 69 SW 5 1 206 W 5 895 P 11/26-04 36 0 19 69 SW 3 1 195 W 5 791 P 11/26-05 24 0 18 70 SW 3 3 2 1 NW25 183 W 5 688 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JAMIE CARPENTER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091123.VASQU.01/BOU