FNUS75 KBOU 272113 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BADGER FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 212 PM MST FRI NOV 27 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE AREA ON SATURDAY. MEANWHILE A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHERN COLORADO AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. NOTE I WENT MUCH COLDER WITH TONIGHT'S LOWS THAN WHAT THE TABLE BELOW WILL SHOW DUE TO EXPECTED STRONG RADITIONAL COOLING. LAST NIGHT'S HUMIDITIES RECOVERED TO AROUND 80% AT THE LAKE GEORGE RAWS SITE WHILE OVERNIGHT LOWS WERE AROUND 5 DEGREES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....6-10. MAX HUMIDITY........70-80%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1700. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1700. MAX TEMPERATURE.....42. MIN HUMIDITY........28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1600 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 4200-5200 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 1200-2200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2300...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0500...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....16. MAX HUMIDITY........81%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1100...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1700...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....29. MIN HUMIDITY........29%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST 8-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 8. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 1. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BADGER FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/27-14 3 0 56 12 W 6 6 6 1 SW17 10024 W 16 140992 V 11/27-15 3 0 54 13 W 6 1 10024 W 16 140992 V 11/27-16 3 0 51 15 W 6 1 5003 W 17 71863 G 11/27-17 7 0 44 21 W 7 7 5 1 SW17 2493 W 17 37298 P 11/27-18 7 0 39 26 W 7 1 1755 W 15 25782 P 11/27-19 7 0 34 31 W 8 1 1018 W 14 14265 P 11/27-20 15 0 31 35 W 8 8 5 1 SW23 280 W 12 2748 P 11/27-21 15 0 28 38 W 8 1 245 W 12 2368 P 11/27-22 15 0 28 39 W 9 1 211 W 10 1988 P 11/27-23 32 0 26 41 W 9 9 5 1 SW22 176 W 10 1608 P 11/28-00 32 0 26 42 W 9 1 181 W 10 1647 P 11/28-01 32 0 26 43 W 8 1 187 W 10 1685 P 11/28-02 38 0 26 44 W 8 8 5 1 SW20 192 W 10 1723 P 11/28-03 38 0 26 45 W 8 1 185 W 10 1597 P 11/28-04 38 0 25 46 W 7 1 178 W 9 1470 P 11/28-05 55 0 25 45 W 7 7 4 1 SW18 171 W 9 1344 P 11/28-06 55 0 25 45 W 7 1 151 W 9 1128 P 11/28-07 55 0 27 43 W 7 1 173 W 8 1255 P 11/28-08 55 0 29 40 W 7 7 3 1 SW17 195 W 8 1381 P 11/28-09 55 0 33 35 W 6 1 1767 W 8 11351 P 11/28-10 55 0 38 29 W 6 1 3339 NW 8 21321 P 11/28-11 73 10 41 29 W 5 5 3 1 SW18 4912 NW 7 31292 P 11/28-12 73 10 42 28 W 3 1 5101 NW 6 26331 P 11/28-13 73 10 42 28 W 2 1 5290 NW 5 21371 P 11/28-14 73 10 41 29 W 2 2 2 1 SW21 5479 NW 3 16411 P 11/28-15 73 10 39 32 NW 3 1 4054 N 5 13748 P 11/28-16 73 10 35 36 N 5 1 2630 NE 7 11085 P 11/28-17 79 20 32 48 NE 6 6 2 1 SW21 522 NE 7 2927 P 11/28-18 79 20 29 53 NE 5 1 519 NE 6 2688 P 11/28-19 79 20 26 59 NE 5 1 515 NE 6 2449 P 11/28-20 79 20 24 64 NE 3 3 2 1 SW23 512 NE 5 2210 P 11/28-21 79 20 23 69 NE 5 1 483 E 5 2000 P 11/28-22 79 20 21 72 NE 5 1 453 E 5 1790 P 11/28-23 87 50 21 74 NE 6 6 2 1 W23 424 E 5 1580 P 11/29-00 87 50 20 76 NE 6 1 390 E 5 1513 P 11/29-01 87 50 19 77 NE 6 1 355 E 5 1446 P 11/29-02 87 50 19 77 NE 6 6 2 1 W24 321 E 5 1378 P 11/29-03 87 50 18 78 NE 6 1 315 E 5 1369 P 11/29-04 87 50 18 78 E 7 1 308 E 5 1359 P 11/29-05 86 60 18 81 E 7 7 2 1 W25 301 E 5 1350 P 11/29-06 86 60 19 77 E 7 1 429 E 5 1557 P 11/29-07 86 60 19 75 E 7 1 556 E 3 1763 P 11/29-08 86 60 21 71 E 7 7 2 1 W20 683 SE 3 1970 P 11/29-09 86 60 24 64 E 7 1 1480 E 3 4032 P 11/29-10 86 60 27 57 E 7 1 2276 NE 3 6094 P 11/29-11 77 40 29 53 E 7 7 2 1 W17 3073 N 3 8155 P 11/29-12 77 40 29 44 E 7 1 3115 N 3 9302 P 11/29-13 77 40 29 35 E 8 1 3157 NE 3 10448 P 11/29-14 77 40 29 29 E 8 8 2 1 NW20 3199 NE 5 11594 P 11/29-15 77 40 27 30 E 8 1 2431 NE 5 9129 P 11/29-16 77 40 26 34 E 7 1 1662 E 5 6664 P 11/29-17 57 10 23 41 E 7 7 2 1 N26 894 E 6 4199 P 11/29-18 57 10 21 48 NE 6 1 689 E 6 3190 P 11/29-19 57 10 19 56 N 6 1 484 NE 5 2181 P 11/29-20 57 10 17 65 N 6 6 2 1 NE45 279 N 5 1171 P 11/29-21 57 10 16 72 NW 6 1 259 N 5 1097 P 11/29-22 57 10 16 78 NW 5 1 238 NW 5 1023 P 11/29-23 36 10 15 82 W 5 5 2 1 N40 217 W 5 949 P 11/30-00 36 10 14 83 W 5 1 198 W 6 937 P 11/30-01 36 10 14 85 W 6 1 180 NW 6 924 P 11/30-02 36 10 14 86 NW 6 6 2 1 N37 161 NW 7 911 P 11/30-03 36 10 13 87 NW 6 1 146 NW 6 783 P 11/30-04 36 10 13 87 NW 7 1 132 W 6 655 P 11/30-05 31 0 13 81 W 5 5 2 1 NE43 117 W 6 527 P 11/30-06 31 0 14 77 W 6 1 123 NW 6 591 P 11/30-07 31 0 15 71 NW 6 1 128 NW 6 655 P 11/30-08 31 0 18 62 NW 6 6 2 1 NE32 134 NW 6 718 P 11/30-09 31 0 22 51 NW 6 1 503 NW 6 1908 P 11/30-10 31 0 28 39 N 7 1 873 NW 5 3098 P 11/30-11 31 0 32 33 N 7 7 4 1 E23 1243 NW 3 4288 P 11/30-12 31 0 34 31 N 6 1 1368 NW 5 4861 P 11/30-13 31 0 35 30 N 5 1 1493 NW 5 5434 P 11/30-14 31 0 35 31 N 5 5 4 1 E12 1618 W 5 6007 P 11/30-15 31 0 34 34 N 3 1 1153 W 5 4273 P 11/30-16 31 0 31 39 NW 3 1 688 W 5 2539 P 11/30-17 13 0 29 41 W 3 3 5 1 NE 5 223 W 5 805 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PIDC REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20091127.BADGE.01/BOU