FNUS75 KGJT 302256
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR UTE CREEK PILES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
356 PM MST MON NOV 30 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SPOT FORECAST FOR UTE CREEK PILES...WRNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1105 AM MST MON NOV 30 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON DECEMBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.FORECAST UPDATE...A LOOK AT THIS AFTERNOON'S MODEL RUN INDICATES
MIXING WINDS WILL BE A BIT STRONGER TUESDAY AFTERNOON THAN
PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. THIS WILL TAKE THE SMOKE DISPERSION TO THE
FAIR CATEGORY.

.DISCUSSION...A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE DIVES INTO THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES ON TUESDAY...BUT WILL NOT LIFT SMOKE DISPERSAL OUT OF THE
POOR CATEGORY. BETTER SMOKE DISPERSAL IS PROBABLE WEDNESDAY AS THE
TROUGH SAGS INTO COLORADO. BUT WE WOULD LIKE TO UPDATE THIS FORECAST
WEDNESDAY MORNING TO GIVE YOU THE LATEST INFORMATION.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 2-5 MPH SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000..THEN RISING
                    TO 4000 FT AGL AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 11 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....13-18 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR EXCEPT EXCELLENT IN SHOWERS (BY DEFINITION).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL EXCEPT HIGHER IN SNOW SHOWERS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....24-29 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR INCREASING
                    TO GOOD BY 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 MPH.

$$

REQUESTED BY...TONI TOELLE
REASON FOR REQUEST...UNDER THE INTERAGENCY AGREEMENT FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES (USFS, BLM, NPS, U