FNUS75 KBOU 010249 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR VASQUEZ RIDGE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 727 PM MST MON NOV 30 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING COLDER TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT SNOWFALL TO THE BURN AREA BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL IMPROVE TO GOOD DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH MODERATE NORTHWEST TRANSPORT WINDS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....14. MAX HUMIDITY........69%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 6-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1700. MAX TEMPERATURE.....33. MIN HUMIDITY........41%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 8-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 0500...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....10. MAX HUMIDITY........68%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1700...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....22. MIN HUMIDITY........39%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 8400-9400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. VERY GOOD AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600... THEN CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 4. HIGHS AROUND 18. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. NOT AS COLD. LOWS AROUND 8. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600... THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR VASQUEZ RIDGE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/30-19 2 0 26 44 W 6 1 849 W 12 9950 P 11/30-20 2 0 24 46 W 6 6 4 1 N 7 336 W 9 2751 P 11/30-21 2 0 23 48 W 6 1 295 W 9 2415 P 11/30-22 2 0 22 49 W 7 1 255 W 9 2079 P 11/30-23 9 0 22 54 W 7 7 4 1 W 9 215 W 9 1743 P 12/01-00 9 0 21 56 W 7 1 204 W 9 1714 P 12/01-01 9 0 20 58 W 8 1 193 W 10 1686 P 12/01-02 9 0 19 59 W 8 8 4 1 W21 182 W 10 1658 P 12/01-03 9 0 18 59 W 8 1 175 W 10 1639 P 12/01-04 9 0 17 60 W 8 1 169 W 12 1619 P 12/01-05 26 0 16 65 W 8 8 3 1 NW25 163 W 12 1600 P 12/01-06 26 0 16 69 W 8 1 202 W 12 2064 P 12/01-07 26 0 18 64 W 8 1 241 W 12 2529 P 12/01-08 26 0 19 60 W 8 8 3 1 W25 280 W 13 2993 P 12/01-09 26 0 21 57 W 9 1 976 W 15 15380 P 12/01-10 26 0 26 49 W 10 1 1673 W 17 27766 P 12/01-11 36 0 29 46 NW 10 10 3 1 W25 2369 W 20 40153 F 12/01-12 36 0 31 43 NW 9 1 3112 W 20 51411 F 12/01-13 36 0 32 41 NW 9 1 3854 W 18 62669 G 12/01-14 36 10 32 41 NW 10 10 2 1 W25 4597 W 18 73928 G 12/01-15 36 10 30 42 NW 12 1 4390 W 18 71050 G 12/01-16 36 10 28 45 W 12 1 4184 W 18 68173 G 12/01-17 81 60 26 49 W 12 12 2 1 W43 2869 W 10 25199 P 12/01-18 81 60 23 53 W 9 1 2282 W 9 19149 P 12/01-19 81 60 20 58 SW 8 1 1695 W 8 13099 P 12/01-20 81 60 19 62 SW 6 6 2 1 W49 1108 SW 7 7048 P 12/01-21 81 60 18 65 SW 5 1 1287 SW 7 7534 P 12/01-22 81 60 17 66 W 3 1 1466 SW 7 8020 P 12/01-23 69 60 17 68 W 3 3 2 1 W55 1645 SW 6 8505 P 12/02-00 69 60 16 65 W 3 1 1759 SW 6 7763 P 12/02-01 69 60 15 63 W 3 1 1873 W 5 7021 P 12/02-02 69 60 14 61 W 5 5 2 1 W56 1987 W 3 6279 P 12/02-03 69 60 13 60 W 5 1 2164 W 3 7540 P 12/02-04 69 60 13 59 W 5 1 2341 NW 5 8802 P 12/02-05 79 30 12 59 NW 5 5 2 1 W58 2518 NW 5 10063 P 12/02-06 79 30 11 60 W 6 1 3111 NW 6 16378 P 12/02-07 79 30 11 62 W 6 1 3705 NW 7 22692 P 12/02-08 79 30 12 60 W 6 6 2 1 W47 4298 NW 8 29007 P 12/02-09 79 30 15 54 W 5 1 5647 W 9 49310 F 12/02-10 79 30 17 50 NW 3 1 6997 W 10 69614 G 12/02-11 77 30 19 47 NW 3 3 2 1 W36 8346 W 13 89917 G 12/02-12 77 30 20 44 NW 6 1 8755 W 14 103111 V 12/02-13 77 30 21 41 NW 8 1 9164 W 15 116304 V 12/02-14 77 30 21 40 NW 9 9 2 1 W35 9572 NW 16 129498 V 12/02-15 77 30 21 39 NW 8 1 9135 NW 16 124062 V 12/02-16 77 30 19 40 NW 7 1 8697 NW 16 118625 V 12/02-17 74 20 16 45 NW 6 6 2 1 NW32 8260 NW 16 113189 V 12/02-18 74 20 13 49 NW 7 1 7735 NW 16 105513 V 12/02-19 74 20 12 51 W 8 1 7210 NW 16 97836 G 12/02-20 74 20 11 52 W 9 9 2 1 NW32 6685 NW 15 90159 G 12/02-21 74 20 10 53 W 10 1 6591 NW 16 89116 G 12/02-22 74 20 10 53 W 12 1 6498 NW 16 88074 G 12/02-23 74 20 9 53 W 12 12 2 1 NW33 6405 NW 16 87031 G 12/03-00 74 20 8 52 W 12 1 6277 NW 16 87849 G 12/03-01 74 20 7 51 W 10 1 6150 NW 16 88667 G 12/03-02 74 20 7 50 W 10 10 2 1 NW36 6023 NW 17 89486 G 12/03-03 74 20 6 49 W 10 1 5945 NW 17 91149 G 12/03-04 74 20 6 49 W 12 1 5868 NW 18 92812 G 12/03-05 83 30 5 51 W 12 12 2 1 NW38 5790 NW 18 94474 G 12/03-06 83 30 4 56 W 12 1 5911 NW 18 94138 G 12/03-07 83 30 4 62 W 12 1 6032 NW 18 93801 G 12/03-08 83 30 6 65 W 12 12 2 1 NW36 6153 NW 17 93465 G 12/03-09 83 30 9 63 W 13 1 7314 NW 18 116788 V 12/03-10 83 30 13 61 W 15 1 8474 NW 18 140111 V 12/03-11 83 30 15 59 W 16 25 2 1 NW35 9634 NW 20 163434 E 12/03-12 83 30 16 57 NW 16 1 10575 NW 20 178409 E 12/03-13 83 30 17 55 NW 16 1 11517 NW 20 193384 E 12/03-14 83 30 18 53 NW 16 25 2 1 NW30 12458 NW 20 208359 E 12/03-15 83 30 17 52 NW 17 1 12407 NW 18 198503 E 12/03-16 83 30 17 52 NW 17 1 12357 NW 17 188648 E 12/03-17 59 10 15 55 NW 16 25 2 1 NW24 12307 NW 17 178792 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...PAUL MINTIER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091201.VASQU.01/BOU