FNUS75 KBOU 020405 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGARLOAF F1...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 856 PM MST TUE DEC 1 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL SWING OVER THE STATE THROUGH THURSDAY BRINGING A CHANCE OF SNOW AND MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BECOME GOOD BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SNOW ACCUMLATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE 2 TO 4 INCHESS BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2100...THEN CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2200...THEN SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....10. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5-9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1800. MAX TEMPERATURE.....21. MIN HUMIDITY........53%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-18 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR. GOOD AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....8. MAX HUMIDITY........66%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-6200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1700...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....13. MIN HUMIDITY........56%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 9-13 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN NORTH 7-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST 5-9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-6200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1500. POOR AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS AROUND 3. HIGHS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0600. LOWS AROUND 9. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SUGARLOAF F1. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 12/01-20 53 20 23 70 E 5 5 2 1 W47 2692 SW 8 19922 P 12/01-21 73 20 21 71 E 6 1 2625 SW 9 20841 P 12/01-22 73 80 20 71 E 6 1 2557 W 10 21759 P 12/01-23 100 80 19 73 E 5 5 2 1 W49 2490 W 10 22678 P 12/02-00 100 80 18 75 E 6 1 2434 W 10 21598 P 12/02-01 100 90 16 76 E 7 1 2378 W 10 20519 P 12/02-02 100 90 15 90 E 8 8 2 1 W58 2322 W 9 19439 P 12/02-03 100 90 14 100 E 8 1 2042 W 9 16822 P 12/02-04 100 90 13 100 SE 6 1 1763 W 9 14206 P 12/02-05 84 80 12 100 E 8 8 2 1 W63 1484 W 9 11589 P 12/02-06 84 80 11 100 E 8 1 1694 W 9 12645 P 12/02-07 84 80 11 100 E 7 1 1905 W 8 13700 P 12/02-08 84 80 11 100 E 7 7 2 1 W60 2115 W 8 14755 P 12/02-09 84 80 13 88 E 7 1 3013 W 12 34674 P 12/02-10 84 80 15 71 E 6 1 3912 W 15 54593 F 12/02-11 73 60 17 59 E 6 6 2 1 W53 4810 W 17 74512 G 12/02-12 73 60 18 54 E 6 1 4901 W 17 73508 G 12/02-13 73 60 19 53 E 7 1 4993 W 17 72504 G 12/02-14 73 60 19 54 E 7 7 2 1 W53 5084 W 16 71500 G 12/02-15 73 60 18 57 E 6 1 5005 W 16 72371 G 12/02-16 73 60 16 62 E 3 1 4926 W 17 73241 G 12/02-17 74 20 14 64 NE 2 2 2 1 W46 4847 W 17 74112 G 12/02-18 74 20 13 54 N 2 1 6196 NW 15 78137 G 12/02-19 74 20 12 55 NW 3 1 5866 NW 15 74980 G 12/02-20 74 20 14 55 W 5 5 2 1 NW33 5536 NW 15 71824 G 12/02-21 74 20 14 55 W 7 1 5571 NW 15 73588 G 12/02-22 74 20 13 55 W 9 1 5605 NW 15 75352 G 12/02-23 74 20 13 56 W 12 12 2 1 NW30 5640 NW 16 77116 G 12/03-00 74 20 12 56 W 12 1 5443 NW 16 74445 G 12/03-01 74 20 11 56 W 12 1 5245 NW 16 71773 G 12/03-02 74 25 11 56 W 12 12 2 1 NW32 5048 NW 16 69101 G 12/03-03 74 25 10 56 W 12 1 5008 NW 16 71339 G 12/03-04 74 25 10 57 W 12 1 4968 NW 17 73576 G 12/03-05 82 50 9 59 W 12 12 2 1 NW31 4928 W 17 75814 G 12/03-06 82 50 9 61 W 12 1 4940 W 17 75584 G 12/03-07 82 50 8 65 W 12 1 4953 NW 17 75354 G 12/03-08 82 50 9 66 W 10 10 2 1 NW29 4965 NW 17 75125 G 12/03-09 82 50 10 65 NW 8 1 5432 NW 16 74238 G 12/03-10 82 50 11 65 NE 6 1 5898 NW 15 73352 G 12/03-11 82 50 12 65 E 3 3 2 1 NW30 6365 NW 13 72466 G 12/03-12 82 50 12 64 E 5 1 6287 NW 13 67889 G 12/03-13 82 50 12 64 E 6 1 6209 W 12 63312 G 12/03-14 82 50 12 64 E 7 7 2 1 W35 6132 W 12 58734 F 12/03-15 82 50 12 64 E 7 1 5749 W 10 50460 F 12/03-16 82 50 12 65 E 7 1 5366 W 9 42185 F 12/03-17 54 10 9 70 E 6 6 2 1 W30 4983 W 8 33910 P 12/03-18 54 10 8 72 E 5 1 4977 W 7 30182 P 12/03-19 54 10 7 71 E 5 1 4971 NW 6 26454 P 12/03-20 54 10 7 70 E 3 3 2 1 W32 4966 NW 6 22725 P 12/03-21 54 10 6 68 NE 2 1 4946 NW 8 32963 P 12/03-22 54 10 6 68 CALM 1 4927 W 10 43200 F 12/03-23 54 10 5 68 CALM 1 2 1 W25 4907 W 13 53438 F 12/04-00 54 10 5 71 W 5 1 4400 W 15 53717 F 12/04-01 54 10 5 76 W 9 1 3894 NW 16 53996 F 12/04-02 54 10 4 82 W 13 13 2 1 N28 3387 NW 18 54275 F 12/04-03 54 10 4 87 W 15 1 2872 NW 18 46006 F 12/04-04 54 10 3 94 W 16 1 2356 NW 18 37738 P 12/04-05 62 5 3 100 W 16 25 3 1 N35 1841 NW 18 29469 P 12/04-06 62 5 3 100 W 16 1 1875 NW 18 29955 P 12/04-07 62 5 4 100 W 17 1 1908 NW 18 30442 P 12/04-08 62 5 7 94 W 17 28 2 1 N36 1942 NW 18 30928 P 12/04-09 62 5 13 73 W 17 1 3036 NW 21 57871 F 12/04-10 62 5 19 59 W 17 1 4129 NW 23 84814 G 12/04-11 62 5 23 50 W 18 30 2 1 N36 5223 NW 24 111756 V 12/04-12 62 5 26 45 W 20 1 5487 NW 26 124277 V 12/04-13 62 5 28 43 W 22 1 5750 NW 28 136798 V 12/04-14 62 5 29 41 W 23 37 3 1 NW37 6014 NW 29 149318 V 12/04-15 62 5 28 42 W 24 1 5338 NW 31 141106 V 12/04-16 62 5 27 43 W 24 1 4663 NW 33 132893 V 12/04-17 56 5 22 49 W 24 39 3 1 N45 3987 NW 36 124681 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...TIM EGAN REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091202.SUGAR.01/BOU